Trump 2.0: The First 100 Days | APAC

Scope for Further Rate Cuts CPI and Central Bank Policy Rates

Impact on CRE

• For the most part, inflation was later to arrive in Asia Pacific than other regions. Subsequently, it continues to trend down with little evidence currently of inflationary pressures reigniting. • Accordingly, APAC central banks have cut an average of 65bps so far, compared to 185bps in the euro area and 100bps in the U.S. There is variation beneath this regional average, with RBNZ cutting 200bps in the face of a recession, while BNM in Malaysia is yet to cut and BOJ is hiking as part of monetary policy normalisation. • All up, central banks have further scope to cut rates to help stimulate domestic economies should it be needed, though will remain watchful on foreign exchange pressures. • Such downward interest rate movements could provide greater support to the investment thesis into CRE.

Peak Jan-24 to Jan-25 Feb-25

-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

0% Inflation Policy Rates 2% 4% 6% 8%

Average of 145bps in cuts

Average of 65bps in cuts

Peak rate in current cycle

Current policy rate

Source: Various central banks; Cushman & Wakefield Research

*BOJ is hiking rates and so current rates are at peak for this cycle

CONTENTS

Cushman & Wakefield