Australian Logistics & Industrial Capital Markets Outlook 2025
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD | 59
N N
National Prime L&I Yield Outlook National Prime L&I Yield Outlook
ok for rates – eployed, where s. This ok for rates – eployed, where s. This wo in 2026. ecast to settle d to the current he 20-year tor given the assets for the 025 before a elds will not be cycle first, rne is forecast to he rate of w, yield wo in 2026. ecast to settle d to the current he 20-year tor given the assets for the 025 before a elds will not be cycle first, rne is forecast to he rate of w, yield previous cycle driven by
-1.0% -0.9% -0.8% -0.7% -0.6% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 0.0% -1.0% -0.9% -0.8% -0.7% -0.6% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 0.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0%
National Prime L&I Yield Outlook
2012
2016
2018
2014
2010
2022
2026
2028
2024
2020
2030
2006
2008
2004
National Weighted Prime L&I Yield
Real Risk Free Rate
2012
2016
2018
2014
2010
2022
2026
2028
2024
2020
2030
2006
2008
2004
Prime L&I Yield Compression Outlook by City, 2025-2030
National Weighted Prime L&I Yield
Real Risk Free Rate
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Perth
Adelaide
Prime L&I Yield Compression Outlook by City, 2025-2030 Prime L&I Yield Compression Outlook by City, 2025-2030
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Perth
Adelaide
previous cycle driven by
al weighted 26 al weighted 26
Source: Oxford Economics, Cushman & Wakefield Research
AUSTRALIA L&I OUTLOOK 2025 30
Source: Oxford Economics, Cushman & Wakefield Research Source: Oxford Economics, Cushman & Wakefield Research
AUSTRALIA L&I OUTLOOK 2025 30
in the short term as select investors look further afield. Victoria is the largest logistics market in the country and also one of the strongest state economies, which provides the backdrop to strong real estate fundamentals and capital growth. Notwithstanding, our forecasts indicate that yields will stabilise at higher levels than the previous cycle due to interest rates remaining more elevated than they were during the pandemic era, driven by continued economic growth.
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