APAC Office Fit Out Cost Guide
SUPPLY CHAIN STRESS BACK ON THE RISE
RAW MATERIALS
RAW MATERIAL PRICING INDEX (December 2019 = 100)
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Although pricing pressure remain volatile, the positive news is that the cost of raw materials has continued to decline over the past year. The steepest decline has been in energy pricing, down 24% y-o-y, though both metal and minerals, and Brent Crude Oil are both down around 5% y-o-y. In total, raw material pricing has eased by up to 40% from the peaks seen in early 2022. However, conflict in Europe has not only reduced trade flows but also triggered the re-routing of vessels away from the Suez Canal and via the Cape of Good Hope instead – adding approximately 6,000km in distance and 10-14 days in time. At the same time, drought in the Panama Canal has caused a 36% reduction in transits y-o-y. Consequently, supply chain stress is starting to increase once again. Reduced capacity and longer transit times have caused container spot pricing to quadruple (Shanghai-Rotterdam) since October 2023. While the duration of these impacts remains unknown, the twin risks of reduced product availability and inflationary price pressures returning have become elevated. SUPPLY CHAIN STRESS SHIPPING COSTS
100 120 140 160 180 200 220
20 40 60 80
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Metals & minerals
Timber
Energy
Oil
Source: The World Bank; Cushman & Wakefield
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SUPPLY CHAIN STRESS INDEX (100 = pre-pandemic normal)
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160
More stressed than pre-pandemic normal
Less stressed than pre-pandemic normal
Mainland China
United States
Source: Moody’s Analytics; Cushman & Wakefield
CONTAINER SPOT RATES (USD per 40-ft container)
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Jan-23
Mar-23
Jun-23
Aug-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
World Container Index
Shanghai to Rotterdam
Source: Drewry; Cushman & Wakefield
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Cushman & Wakefield
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