Unlocking Alternatives: Investing Beyond the Major CRE Asset Type
SFR / BTR: PERFORMANCE Interest surged in 2020 – 2022, and pricing remains high
• BTR supply ramped up only recently, creating an imbalance between supply and investor demand to deploy capital. Record-high construction costs, including lumber and labor, have limited new supply. • Rising home prices limit scattered-site acquisition-rehabilitation providers from acquiring homes in certain markets, and they face increased competition from individual buyer demand in the post-pandemic period. There is also a steep learning curve in SFR BTR, including land development bottle necks, zoning, tax calculations, site selection and management. • Institutional interest surged post-pandemic, driving both volumes and prices. Volume exceeded the $3B mark. • Cap rates had been steadily trending downward until the past couple quarters, as the overall rate environment has had an impact on the space.
SFR / BTR Volume & Pricing Trends
Average SFR / BTR Cap Rates
0.07
700.00
$280K
$3B
$260K
0.065
600.00
$3B
$240K
0.06
500.00
$220K
$2B
0.055
400.00
$200K
$2B
$180K
0.05
300.00
Cap Rate
$160K
$1B
Avg Price / Unit
0.045
200.00
Transaction Volume
Spread Over 10 yr Treasury
$140K
$1B
0.04
100.00
$120K
0.035
0.00
$100K
$B
17Q1
17Q3
18Q1
18Q3
19Q1
19Q3
20Q1
20Q3
21Q1
21Q3
22Q1
22Q3
23Q1
Spread - Multifamily (RHS) Spread - SFR BTR (RHS) SFR BTR Cap Rate (LHS)
2015 Q1
2015 Q4
2016 Q3
2017 Q2
2018 Q1
2018 Q4
2019 Q3
2020 Q2
2021 Q1
2021 Q4
2022 Q3
2023 Q2
Transaction Volume (LHS) Average Price Per Unit (RHS)
Source: CoStar, Cushman & Wakefield
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