U.S. Capital Markets Glide Path to Clearer Skies
Banks are an important lender for CRE
Bank Originations as Share of Total CRE
Share of CRE Debt Outstanding* ~ of $4.5 Trillion in Total
15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Top 25 Banks "Large" 12%
Others 12%
CMBS, CDO and ABS 13%
Regional Banks 14%
Commuity Banks 10%
Life Insurance Cos 15%
Small Banks 3%
Agency, GSE Portfolio & MBS 21%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
• Banks typically account for around 40% to 45% of total CRE financing in any given year. • Throughout 2022, banks played an even larger role in CRE financing as CMBS and GSE activity retreated. • Banks also account for about 40% of outstanding income producing debt throughout the CRE universe which totals $4.5 trillion. • So, any conversation on broader CRE debt and lending should start with a deeper dive into the conditions facing banks leading up to today and heading into the next chapter.
20
Source: MSCI Real Capital Analytics, Mortgage Banker’s Association, Cushman & Wakefield Research. Note: *Figures based on CRE debt on income-producing properties.
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