Submarket Snapshot_4Q2023_Office_Interactive
DENVER OFFICE Q4 2023 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOTS
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BOULDER
CBD Central Business District
NW CORRIDOR
E470
SES Southeast Suburban
76 INTERSTATE
CHERRY CREEK
25 INTERSTATE
RiN o
CO BLVD/GLENDALE Colorado Blvd & Glendale
70 INTERSTATE
CBD
RiN o River North
70 INTERSTATE
E470
CHERRY CREEK
CO BLVD/ GLENDALE
NW CORRIDOR Northwest Corridor
SES
25 INTERSTATE
BOULDER
DENVER METRO
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT
OFFICE 4Q23
KEY TAKEAWAYS
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION 72,200 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 58,100 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
While the asking rates for the CBD remained relatively stable, direct rents contracted by $0.08 psf in fourth quarter 2023. New construction activity remained subdued during Q4 2023, with only one building under construction and no others scheduled to commence construction until 2024. Sublease availabilities experienced a 20-basis point (bps) increase, as CBD experienced a continued trend of tenants looking to downsize and/or sublet their space. The large amount of sublease availability is expected to slowly affect direct vacancies as subleases expire in the coming quarters. Flight-to-quality remained salient within the Central Business District (CBD) as Class A product comprised of 92.5% of the total leasing volume in Q4 2023. City and County of Denver secured the largest lease in the CBD by signing for 72,200 square feet at 370 17th Street Investment activity has slowed significantly, attributable to the elevated cost of capital and the enduring uncertainties prevailing within the office sector.
-359,900 4Q23 ABSORPTION 275,500 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
AVERAGE CAP RATE
TOTAL SALES TRANSACTION
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $39.26 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $42.69 ( CLASS A ) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $34.13 (CLASS B)
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY
Q4 2023
QOQ CHANGE
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
25.4%
70 bps
UNDER CONSTRUCTION 704,000 SF
22.4%
10 bps
CLASS A VACANCY
37.2%
270 bps
CLASS B VACANCY
PROPOSED OFFICE 1,702,800 SF
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
5.9%
20 bps
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT
OFFICE 4Q23
CBD MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
Inventory (SF)
32,086,025
32,174,750
32,200,334
Under Construction (SF)
704,036
704,036
704,036
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
22.2%
25.4%
24.7%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
19.6%
22.4%
22.3%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
32.3%
37.2%
34.5%
Sublease Availability
1,891,465
1,896,873
1,836,229
Avg. FSG Direct Asking Rate (all Classes)
$38.89
$39.26
$39.34
Avg. FSG Direct Asking Rate – Class A
$42.67
$42.69
$42.63
Avg. FSG Direct Asking Rate – Class B
$33.35
$34.13
$33.93
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
123,848
-359,890
-499,490
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-611,227
-1,155,332
-795,442
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
366,385
275,543
409,504
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
1,723,752
1,234,255
905,590
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
LEASING ACTIVITY VS. ABSORPTION
(600,000) (400,000) (200,000) - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000
10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
$35.00 $36.00 $37.00 $38.00 $39.00 $40.00 $41.00
Direct Gross Rental Rate
Overall Gross Rental Rate
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
Direct Vacancy
Overall Vacancy
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT
OFFICE 4Q23
KEY LEASE TRANSACTIONS Q4 2023
DATE LEASED
PROPERTY
TENANT
SIZE (SF)
TYPE
MICROMARKET
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Oct-23
370 17th Street
City and County of Denver
72,200
New Deal
Uptown
Nov-23
1001 17th Street
Coresite, LLC
49,500
Renewal
Midtown
Dec-23
1900 16th Street
PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP
47,500
New Deal
LoDo
Nov-23
1560 Broadway
IWG
43,300
New Deal
Uptown
KEY SALES TRANSACTIONS YTD 2023
DATE SOLD
PROPERTY
BUYER | SELLER
SIZE (SF)
SALE PRICE PRICE/SF MICROMARKET
Concord Energy, LLC | Westfield Company Edwin P. Aro | Cherry Creek Family Office
May-23
1430 Wynkoop Street
44,000
$18.1M $410/SF
LoDo
Jan-23
1725 Blake Street
15,800
$4.0M $255/SF
LoDo
Feb-23
1420 Blake Street
Gibson G. Smith | Douglas S. Brown 16,700
$1.9M $194/SF
LoDo
UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
ADDRESS
OWNER / DEVELOPER
SIZE (SF)
MAJOR TENANTS
MICROMARKET
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2024 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
Riverside Investment & Development
1900 Lawrence Street
704,000
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher
Midtown
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
SF(Millions)
0.5
0.0
2018 2019 2020 2021
2022 2023
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT SOUTHEAST SUBURBAN
KEY TAKEAWAYS Southeast Suburban (SES) submarket recorded the second highest amounts of negative absorption in the Denver Metro at negative 118,800 sf, with only Central Business District (CBD) recording higher negative absorption. Despite that, SES net absorption improved by 47.9% QOQ. Leasing activity within SES declined by 18.4% QOQ, with Class A product making up more than 56.4% of the new leasing activity in 4Q 2023 emphasizing a flight-to quality trend. One of the most robust development pipelines in the Denver Metro came from SES as it boasted nearly 5.8 msf in proposed projects. Despite that, economic challenges are still prevalent, which has led to a continued delay in the development projects. SES direct vacancy increased by 10 bps in 4Q 2023. Direct vacancy is expected to fluctuate as the market continues to seek balance in the face of upcoming sublease expirations and the continued impact of hybrid-work models.
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION 27,200 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 34,800 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
-118,800 4Q23 ABSORPTION 269,000 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
AVERAGE CAP RATE
TOTAL SALES VOLUME
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $30.68 ( CLASS A ) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $24.16 (CLASS B) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $28.26 ( ALL CLASSES )
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY
Q4 2023
QOQ CHANGE
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION 0 SF
18.9%
10 bps
19.9%
10 bps
CLASS A VACANCY
17.8%
10 bps
CLASS B VACANCY
PROPOSED OFFICE 5,780,000 SF
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
4.6%
20 bps
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT SOUTHEAST SUBURBAN
SES MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
Inventory (SF)
33,965,892
34,204,853
34,204,853
Under Construction (SF)
10,050
0
0
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
17.1%
18.9%
18.8%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
18.5%
19.9%
19.8%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
15.4%
17.8%
17.7%
Sublease Availability
1,815,472
1,629,264
1,803,904
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate (all Classes)
$28.23
$28.26
$28.21
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class A
$31.11
$30.68
$30.78
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class B
$23.58
$24.16
$24.02
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
68,633
-118,808
-80,341
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-294,977
-709,657
-590,849
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
644,248
269,000
329,687
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
2,524,442
1,682,331
1,413,331
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
LEASING ACTIVITY VS. ABSORPTION
(1,000,000) (500,000) - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000
$25.00 $26.00 $27.00 $28.00 $29.00 $30.00
10.0% 14.0% 18.0% 22.0% 26.0%
Direct Gross Rental Rate
Overall Gross Rental Rate
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
Direct Vacancy
Overall Vacancy
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT SOUTHEAST SUBURBAN
KEY LEASE TRANSACTIONS Q4 2023
DATE LEASED
PROPERTY
TENANT
SIZE (SF)
DEAL TYPE
MICROMARKET
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Oct-23
160 Inverness Drive West
Undisclosed
27,200
New Lease
Inverness
Nov-23
7979 East Tufts Avenue
Allium US Holdings
21,300
New Lease
DTC
Oct-23
188 Inverness Drive West
Undisclosed
16,200
New Lease
Inverness
KEY SALES TRANSACTIONS YTD 2023
DATE SOLD
PROPERTY
BUYER | SELLER
SIZE (SF) SALE PRICE PRICE/SF
MICROMARKET
Nov-23
161 Inverness Drive West
Westside Invstmnt Prtnrs | Artis REIT 256,800
$16.5M $64/SF
Inverness
8089 Lincoln Street LLC | MVP 8089 Lincoln Land LLC
Sept-23 8089 South Lincoln Street
24,600
$6.1M $248/SF
Inverness
Jun-23 9777 Mount Pyramid Court Providence Partners LLC | Graham Street Realty
120,300
$9.9M $83/SF
Meridian
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2024 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
SF (Millions)
0.4
0.2
0
2019 2020 2021
2022 2023
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CHERRY CREEK NORTH
OFFICE 4Q23
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Q4 2023 LEASING & ABSORPTION
Direct vacancy dropped on a QOQ basis to 3.0%, as the Cherry Creek North submarket maintained an impressively low vacancy rate, making it one of the tightest submarkets in the Denver metropolitan area. However, activity within the submarket has started to cool down as a result of the low vacancy and increasingly limited supply. Of the 358,500 sf of Class A space under construction in Cherry Creek North, only 15,000 sf remained available for pre-leasing, which demonstrates the demand for more supply in the submarket. The rising cost of capital has critically impacted the amount of office investment sales in the Denver Metro, resulting in no significant transaction during the quarter. Cherry Creek remained relatively active, with a two-building portfolio sale in Q1 2023 and a single building investment sale in Q2 2023. Rent growth in Cherry Creek continued to strengthen, with the average NNN asking rate increasing by nearly 6.6% since Q1 2022. Given the strong demand in the market, rental rates may continue to grow due to low vacancy rates and lack of supply.
5,700 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 4,800 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
8,500 4Q23 ABSORPTION 5,700 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
(KSF) LARGEST 4Q22 LESE
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
AVERAGE CAP RATE
TOTAL SALES VOLUME
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—NNN $41.85 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—NNN $48.54 ( CLASS A ) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—NNN $33.15 (CLASS B)
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY
Q4 2023
QOQ CHANGE
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
3.0%
110 bps
UNDER CONSTRUCTION 358,500 SF
3.5%
40 bps
CLASS A VACANCY
2.2%
270 bps
CLASS B VACANCY
PROPOSED OFFICE 1,159,500 SF
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
17.9 KSF
INCREASE
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CHERRY CREEK NORTH
OFFICE 4Q23
CHERRY CREEK NORTH
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
Inventory (SF)
1,367,618
1,367,618
1,367,618
Under Construction (SF)
358,520
218,020
289,479
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
3.0%
4.1%
5.2%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
4.7%
3.5%
3.9%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
6.1%
2.2%
4.4%
Sublease Availability
17,949
5,687
15,026
Avg. NNN Asking Rate (all Classes)
$41.85
$42.66
$40.45
Avg. NNN Asking Rate – Class A
$48.54
$48.23
$46.21
Avg. NNN Asking Rate – Class B
$33.15
$35.43
$33.35
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
(20,857)
8,487
28,305
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-8,427
55,090
46,603
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
27,752
5,687
45,253
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
154,678
96,817
91,130
HISTORICAL DIRECT VACANCY RATE
LEASING ACTIVITY VS. ABSORPTION
-50,000 -25,000 0 25,000 50,000 75,000
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
3-yr. Average : 5.9%
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT CHERRY CREEK NORTH
OFFICE 4Q23
KEY LEASE TRANSACTIONS Q4 2023
DATE LEASED
PROPERTY
TENANT
SIZE (SF)
DEAL TYPE
LEASE TYPE
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 Minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Oct-23
2401 East 2nd Avenue
TBD
5,700
Direct
New Lease
KEY SALES TRANSACTIONS YTD 2023 DATE SOLD PROPERTY BUYER | SELLER
SIZE (SF)
SALE PRICE
PRICE/SF
Mar-23
2nd & Josephine Portfolio
Altus Properties | Unico Properties
105,300
$54.0M
$531/SF
Apr-23
2702 E. 3rd Avenue
Lario Investments | Jerry Wrench
19,300
$12.5M
$647/SF
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
OWNER / DEVELOPER
SIZE (SF)
PROPERTY
MAJOR TENANT(S)
EST. COMPLETION DATE
Schnitzer West
140,500
Oct-25
201 Fillmore Street
Antero Resources
59,700
Jan-24
300 N. University Boulevard Elevate Real Estate Services
Platte River Equity, Walker Dunlop
BMC Investments
99,300
Jan-24
255 Fillmore Street
Crusoe Energy
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2024 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2020
2021
2022
2023
MARKET SNAPSHOT COLORADO BLVD. & GLENDALE
OFFICE 4Q23
KEY TAKEAWAYS
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION
Net absorption in the Colorado Blvd & Glendale submarket increased, reaching a positive 7,400 sf. However, the trend of downsizing and high sublease availabilities remained prevalent. Direct asking rates saw slight growth, as rates for all building classes increased by $0.67 psf QOQ to $29.10 psf. However, Class A rates recorded a decrease of $0.34, relative to other products. Direct vacancy across all building classes decreased by 10 bps. However, tenants continued to display hesitancy towards signing new leases, particularly for extended durations, and remain cautious about expanding their operations until market and economic conditions stabilize. The development pipeline of Colorado Blvd & Glendale remained dormant, as the focus of new office construction shifted to the urban core submarkets such as RiNo, the CBD, and Cherry Creek.
6,200 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 14,100 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
7,400 4Q23 ABSORPTION 33,300 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
TOTAL SALES TRANSACTION
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
AVERAGE CAP RATE
LEASING & ABSORPTION ACTIVITY
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $29.10 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $34.72 ( CLASS A )
Q4 2023 QOQ CHANGE
150,000
100,000
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
19.2%
10 bps
50,000
-
CLASS A VACANCY CLASS B VACANCY
18.1%
220 bps
(50,000)
(100,000)
22.9%
10 bps
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG
(150,000)
$28.50 (CLASS B)
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
4.8%
50 bps
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
MARKET SNAPSHOT COLORADO BLVD. & GLENDALE
OFFICE 4Q23
MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 Minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Inventory (SF)
5,353,525
5,353,525
5,353,525
Under Construction (SF)
0
0
0
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
19.2%
19.1%
16.9%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
18.1%
15.9%
8.8%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
22.9%
23.0%
21.7%
Sublease Availability
258,325
286,071
250,108
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate (all Classes)
$29.10
$28.83
$28.30
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class A
$34.72
$35.03
$35.16
Avg. FSG Asking Rate – Class B
$28.50
$28.43
$27.98
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
7,381
-27,386
-16,379
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2023 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-146,400
-153,781
-88,397
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
33,317
161,932
109,206
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
350,271
316,954
413,710
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
350,000
$29.50
26.0%
300,000
$29.00
24.0%
250,000
$28.50
22.0%
$28.00
20.0%
200,000
$27.50
18.0%
150,000
$27.00
16.0%
100,000
$26.50
14.0%
50,000
$26.00
12.0%
0
Direct Avg. Asking Rate (FSG)
Direct Vacancy Rate
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT RiNo
KEY TAKEAWAYS
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION
Net absorption in RiNo decreased by 143.9% QOQ to negative 15,900 sf, which brought the year-to-date total to negative 37,900 sf in 4Q 2023. RiNo remains a top performer in the Denver metro area in terms of commanding some of the highest asking rents, as there is an abundance of newer and more attractive Class A buildings, which is the predominant choice in the submarket. Direct asking rates saw relative stability, as rates for all building classes decreased by $0.18 psf QOQ to $49.50 psf. Class A showed a marginal decrease, while Class B direct asking rate increased by $0.53 psf QOQ. Direct vacancy across all building classes increased by 110 bps, as Class A and B recorded an uptick of 20 bps and 100 bps respectively. Xcel Energy signed one of the largest leases in the Denver Metro at 3500 Blake Street for 220,200 sf, which also marked one of the largest deals since 2016. The deal made up a majority of the leasing activity for 4Q 2023 in RiNo.
220,200 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 15,700 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
-15,900 3Q23 ABSORPTION 239,000 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
TOTAL SALES TRANSACTION
AVERAGE CAP RATE
LEASING & ABSORPTION ACTIVITY
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $49.50 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $50.57 ( CLASS A )
(150,000) (100,000) (50,000) - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
Q4 2023 QOQ CHANGE
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
34.7%
110 bps
CLASS A VACANCY CLASS B VACANCY
42.7%
20 bps
14.4%
100 bps
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $41.13 (CLASS B)
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
9.6%
90 bps
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT RiNo
MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 Minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Inventory (SF)
2,334,454
2,334,454
2,103,229
Under Construction (SF)
733,882
711,561
642,786
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
34.7%
33.6%
25.5%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
42.7%
42.5%
28.2%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
14.4%
13.4%
22.4%
Sublease Availability
222,965
203,664
337,007
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate (all Classes)
$47.15
$49.50
$49.68
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class A
$48.06
$50.57
$50.66
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class B
$41.69
$41.13
$40.60
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
-15,922
33,235
26,397
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2023 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-37,947
-22,025
-32,414
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
239,005
35,170
108,982
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
371,950
132,945
374,657
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
40.0%
$51.00
$49.00
35.0%
300,000
$47.00
30.0%
$45.00
200,000
25.0%
$43.00
$41.00
20.0%
$39.00
100,000
15.0%
$37.00
10.0%
$35.00
0
Direct Avg. Asking Rate (FSG)
Direct Vacancy Rate
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT NORTHWEST CORRIDOR
KEY TAKEAWAYS
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION
While the trend of move-outs and downsizing remains notable, there was an improvement in net absorption within the Northwest Corridor, which increased to positive 6,400 sf in 4Q 2023, representing an improvement from negative 9,500 sf the previous quarter. Leasing activity increased by 56.5% QOQ, with just under 98,600 sf in new leases signed, a YOY decrease of 121.3%. Sublease availability decreased by 30 bps QOQ. Despite this, sublease availabilities still remained relatively high. A portion of the subleases are expected to convert into direct vacancy in the upcoming quarters, as tenants continue to explore their options. Direct vacancy fell to 19.7%, a 10-bps decrease in 4Q 2023. Class A vacancies contracted by 40 bps, while Class B vacancies increased by 60 bps QOQ. The development pipeline of Northwest Corridor remained dormant, as the focus of new office construction shifted to the urban core submarkets such as RiNo, the CBD, and Cherry Creek.
20,300 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 11,400 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
6,400 4Q23 ABSORPTION 98,600 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
TOTAL SALES TRANSACTION
AVERAGE CAP RATE
LEASING & ABSORPTION ACTIVITY
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $30.75 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $32.38 ( CLASS A )
150,000
Q4 2023 QOQ CHANGE
100,000
50,000
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
19.7%
10 bps
-
CLASS A VACANCY CLASS B VACANCY
20.9%
40 bps
(50,000)
(100,000)
18.0%
60 bps
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG
(150,000)
$26.92 (CLASS B)
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
6.2%
30 bps
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT NORTHWEST CORRIDOR
MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 Minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Inventory (SF)
8,859,216
8,859,216
8,859,216
Under Construction (SF)
101,200
101,200
0
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
19.7%
19.8%
18.9%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
20.9%
21.3%
21.7%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
18.0%
17.4%
14.6%
Sublease Availability
548,921
571,626
339,408
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate (all Classes)
$30.75
$30.66
$30.92
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class A
$32.38
$32.31
$33.00
Avg. FSG Asking Rate – Class B
$26.92
$26.91
$26.39
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
6,412
-9,537
-218,863
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2023 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-255,567
-261,979
-265,765
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
98,589
62,987
44,556
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
293,163
194,574
383,702
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
700,000
22.0%
$28.00 $28.50 $29.00 $29.50 $30.00 $30.50 $31.00 $31.50 $32.00
600,000
20.0%
500,000
18.0%
400,000
16.0%
300,000
200,000
14.0%
100,000
12.0%
0
Direct Avg. Asking Rate (FSG)
Direct Vacancy Rate
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT BOULDER
KEY TAKEAWAYS
4Q23 LEASING & ABSORPTION
Leasing activity increased by 44.8% QOQ to 96,300 sf, with East Boulder being responsible for a majority of the activity in the submarket. Dicerna Pharmaceutical secured the largest lease of the fourth quarter 2023 with a deal at 4780 Pearl East Circle for 41,500 sf. Net absorption in Boulder recorded 20,700 in positive absorption, marking a huge improvement QOQ, which previously marked a 12-quarter record low of 203,000 in negative net absorption. Direct asking rates saw slight growth, as rates for all building classes increased by $0.11 psf QOQ to $38.89 psf. However, Class A direct asking rates decreased by a notable $2.08 psf QOQ to $45.59 psf. Three buildings totaling 369,500 sf remain under construction as of 4Q 2023, one of which is expected to deliver by early next year. There are currently two projects in the proposed development pipeline, but with the rising cost of capital, it is unclear when this project will break ground.
41,500 4Q23 LARGEST LEASE 22,400 4Q23 LARGEST MOVE-OUT
20,700 4Q23 ABSORPTION 96,300 4Q23 LEASING ACTIVITY
2023 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
ASKING RENTS
TOTAL SALES TRANSACTION
LARGEST SALES TRANSACTION
AVERAGE CAP RATE
LEASING & ABSORPTION ACTIVITY
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $38.89 (ALL CLASSES) AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG $45.59 ( CLASS A )
Q4 2023 QOQ CHANGE
250,000
150,000
DIRECT VACANCY (ALL CLASSES)
16.7%
20 bps
50,000
CLASS A VACANCY CLASS B VACANCY
-50,000
18.5%
130 bps
-150,000
16.3%
120 bps
AVG. DIRECT RENTS—FSG
-250,000
$35.55 (CLASS B)
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
5.0%
20 bps
Leasing Activity Net Absorption
OFFICE 4Q23 SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT BOULDER
MARKET
4Q 2023
3Q 2023
4Q 2022
CARA STAMP Research Manager Tel: +1 303 218 3258 cara.stamp@cushwake.com MINH NGO Research Analyst Tel: +1 303 312 4293 Minh.ngo@cushwake.com
Inventory (SF)
5,711,483
5,711,483
5,750,227
Under Construction (SF)
369,478
313,478
313,478
Direct Vacancy (all Classes)
16.7%
16.9%
13.6%
Direct Vacancy – Class A
18.5%
17.2%
12.9%
Direct Vacancy – Class B
16.3%
17.5%
15.3%
Sublease Availability
191,438
203,827
194,200
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate (all Classes)
$38.89
$38.78
$39.88
Avg. Direct FSG Asking Rate – Class A
$45.59
$47.67
$49.81
Avg. FSG Asking Rate – Class B
$35.55
$33.94
$34.88
Net Absorption – Current Qtr. (SF)
20,666
-202,969
-50,749
A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for property owners and occupiers with approximately 52,000 employees in approximately 400 offices and 60 countries. In 2022, the firm reported revenue of $10.1 billion across its core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, and valuation and other services. It also receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture and commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and more. For additional information, visit www.cushmanwakefield.com. ©2024 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. cushmanwakefield.com
Net Absorption – YTD (SF)
-144,741
-165,407
-65,531
Leasing Activity – Current Qtr. (SF)
96,252
66,490
92330
Leasing Activity – YTD (SF)
367,116
270,864
299,880
RENTAL RATE VS. VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
250,000
$42.00
19.0%
$40.00
200,000
17.0%
$38.00
15.0%
150,000
13.0%
$36.00
11.0%
100,000
$34.00
9.0%
$32.00
50,000
7.0%
5.0%
$30.00
0
Direct Avg. Asking Rate (FSG)
Direct Vacancy Rate
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