South Florida Multifamily 2018 Mid-Year Update
MULTIFAMILY INVESTMENT SALES ANALYSIS | SOUTH FLORIDA GRAPH 1 :: South Florida Historical Price/Unit Versus Price/SF SOUTH FLORIDA HISTORICAL PRICE/UNIT VERSUS PRICE /SF
MU LT I FAM I LY I NVE S TMENT | SOUTH F LOR I DA T E AM
$260
$250,000
Miami-Dade
$240
$225,000
$220
Broward
$200,000
$200
Palm Beach
$175,000
$180
$160
$150,000
$140
$125,000
$120
Price Per SF
$100,000 Price per Unit
$100
$80
$75,000
$60
$50,000
$40
$25,000
$20
$0
$0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018 (YTD)
* $1MM+ multifamily sales
Average per Unit
Average Per SF
GRAPH 2 :: South Florida Historical Transaction Volume Versus Number of Transactions SOUTH FLORIDA HISTORICAL TRANSACTION VOLUME ERSUS NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS
$5.5
375
Miami-Dade
$2.5 Dollar Volume Billions $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5 $5.0
Broward
300
Palm Beach
225
150
$2.0
Number of Transactions
$1.5
75
$1.0
$0.5
$0.0
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018 (YTD)
* $1MM+ multifamily sales Source: CoStar
Dollar Volume
Number of Transactions
RENTAL SUPPLY There were currently 18,215 units under construction at the midyear. For the most part, new rental supply was quickly absorbed. There are certain submarkets with several new buildings delivering in a short duration, causing slower lease-ups. Despite an abundant amount of cranes that cover the South Florida landscape, new construction barely keeps pace with demand. Consider these two facts: 1) since 2013 there were 46,565 units built in South Florida. Under construction
units only account for 28% of the units in the current development cycle. The new supply thus far has not adversely effected the market even though 72% of the new supply has already been delivered; and 2) Rental demand remains strong (see previous paragraph). New construction can be visualized by all the new cranes. Population/household formation is surpassing the supply but is not always as easily identifiable – unless you are in rush hour traffic. Due to higher construction and land
costs, new supply has almost exclusively been geared towards Class A+ product. Affordable or Class B and C supply remained drastically under served and continues to be a problem in South
Florida. RENTS
Rents continued to increase in 2018, and for an eighth year in a row, rents were at record levels in South Florida. In the past five years, effective rents increased by 24%, 23%, and 25% in Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach
3
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