Reimagining Cities-Disrupting the Urban Doom Loop
NOI PER SF GROWTH (2019-2023)
10% 15% 20%
0% 5%
-20% -15% -10% -5%
Downtown Downtown Adjacent Urban Commercial
Urban University
All WalkUPs
All WalkUPs with BIDs
All WalkUPs with BIDs (No-BID Inventory Composition)
All WalkUPs without BIDs
Source: Places Platform, LLC, Cushman & Wakefield Research
INVENTORY COMPOSITION
We’ve also mentioned how the composition of WalkUPs plays a role, especially since WalkUPs with place management organizations are more Work-centric, particularly in Downtowns. As a counterfactual, we estimated what NOI psf 81 would have been in WalkUPs with place management if their inventory composition had been more diverse, similar to that of WalkUPs without place management. The results show that, if WalkUPs with place management had been more diverse and less Work-centric, NOI psf growth would have unilaterally outperformed their non place management counterparts. This finding is significant. It suggests that place management organizations are in some of the most significant parts of cities, but the mix of assets in those WalkUPs may be limiting their performance.
20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
16.3%
17.6%
43.6%
53.0%
38.9%
30.6%
0% 10%
No BID
BID
Live
Work
Play
Source: Places Platform, LLC, Cushman & Wakefield Research
81 Why NOI psf? Again, cities do not influence the national interest rate environment, and thus including cap rates in implied valuations would be less insightful and constructive for answering the question of how cities can reimagine themselves.
Reimagining Cities: Disrupting the Urban Doom Loop 61
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