Q4 2020 Erhardt Land Report
recovery readiness & THE SAFE SIX As areas stabilize from the COVID-19 pandemic and stay-at-home restrictions are lifted, organizations will begin to bring workers back into the physical workplace. It’s already begun in some parts of the world. In fact, as of April 2020, we have helped move our own employees, and those of our clients, back into more than 800 million square feet of properties globally. The “Recovery Readiness: A How-to Guide for Reopening your Workplace,” outlines some of the best thinking and practices that our more than 53,000 professionals have compiled across the globe and also includes insights from key partners. The recommended practices and protocols already have been implemented at locations across the globe with tremendous success.
GLOBAL OFFICE IMPACT STUDY & RECOVERY TIMING C&W RESOURCE
IN THIS STUDY: • We examine both the aggregate cyclical and structural impacts on the office sector’s fundamentals. • We present three forecast scenarios that illustrate probable and/or possible recovery timing based on the information at hand today.
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FOR RECOVERY READINESS RESOURCES AND TO DOWNLOAD THE GUIDE CLICK HERE: https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/insights/ covid-19/recovery-readiness-a-how-to-guide-for-re- opening-your-workplace
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH
This study is the first in a four-part series that provides a new perspective on COVID-19’s effects on the commercial real estate industry and the future of the office. Beginning with this global impact study, the series explores the cyclical and structural changes impacting the global office market as well as the implications for the timing of a recovery. In part two, we do a thorough review of academic literature and industry studies, examining the benefits of office and working from home (WFH) focused on several key areas including productivity, culture, branding, employee engagement and creativity. In part three, the series will shift to perspectives on finding the optimal model that incorporates flexibility and a future workplace ecosystem made up of the office, work from home and places to create greater employee satisfaction, productivity and profitability. Finally, in the last part of the series, we will explore the future beyond 2020. By focusing on the aspects that influence the built environment—including the economy, geo-demographics, technology, societal shifts and the political landscape—we strive to answer how changing behavior patterns will affect decision making. INTRODUCTION COVID-19 is disrupting the economy, accelerating shifts and creating structural changes that will persist for years to come. The pandemic has created several forces that directly impact the office sector’s fundamentals. Some of the impacts are cyclical—for example, the COVID-19 recession will result in office-using job losses, higher vacancy, and will place downward pressure on rental rates. Other impacts are structural, such as a greater share of employees who will regularly work from home (WFH). In this study, we examine both the aggregate cyclical and structural impacts on the office sector’s fundamentals, and we present three forecast scenarios that illustrate probable and/or possible outcomes based on the information at hand today. Lastly, our study makes predictions only at the regional level; we acknowledge that not every city will follow the same path as laid out in our aggregated findings. Further, although we believe the range of scenarios is wide enough to capture possible and probable outcomes and that assumptions we make are well reasoned based on the data available today, we acknowledge the unprecedented level of uncertainty in today’s outlook. GLOBAL OFFICE IMPACT STUDY & RECOVERY TIMING September 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS KEY FINDINGS .................................................................................................................................. 2 5-YEAR OFFICE OUTLOOK BY REGION ........................................................................................... 3 STUDY OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................... 4 ASIA PACIFIC ................................................................................................................................... 6 GREATER CHINA ............................................................................................................................ 10 EUROPE ......................................................................................................................................... 14 UNITED STATES .............................................................................................................................. 18 CANADA ........................................................................................................................................ 22 BIBLIOGRAPHY .............................................................................................................................. 26 APPENDIX A: ECONOMIC SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................... 29 APPENDIX B: MODELING ASSUMPTIONS ....................................................................................... 31
HELPING YOUR EMPLOYEES ADJUST TO A NEW NORMAL https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/ en/netherlands/six-feet-office
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NEW PERSPECTIVE: FROM PANDEMIC TO PERFORMANCE
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