Part 1: Return to the Office Series - Predicting the Return to the Office


This report is structured with an analysis of global trends followed by detailed regional sections for the Americas (U.S. and Canada), APAC and EMEA. Each global region’s section includes the following: • First, we review the “current state” of the region, which examines the percentage of office employees that have already returned to the office as well as the latest thoughts on return to office plans. • Second, we study the trajectory of the virus and IHME forecasts based on observations in several case study countries, as well as the trajectory of vaccination and expected timelines for achieving herd resiliency. • Lastly, we present forecast scenarios for when businesses may return to the office.

In addition to these assumptions, we recognize other important factors will contribute to the full return to the office. For instance, confidence in mass transit will be a factor for many markets. Government policies and procedures will also be a factor. There are a myriad of other factors, including childcare issues and assumptions regarding labor force participation returning to pre-pandemic levels. In this analysis, we presume that if the previously listed assumptions are met, then most of the other issues will resolve in short order so as not to delay the return to the office in a meaningful way.


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