Part 1: Return to the Office Series - Predicting the Return to the Office

GLOBAL AMERICAS APAC EMEA

OUTLOOK – U.S. VIRUS UPDATE:

Concerns exist related to the growth of the Delta variant and its path. Although new infections and hospitalizations remain elevated, it appears that U.S. cases may have peaked in early September 2021. Patterns in countries where Delta has already spread and seemingly peaked—namely France and India—may indicate the trajectory in the U.S. In those two countries, cases grew significantly for six to eight weeks before falling quickly from their peaks. These patterns are fairly consistent with IHME COVID-19 projections. In IHME’s baseline scenario, new infections in the U.S. will peak in late-August or early September and begin trending downwards. Based on these trends, we estimate that new infections will be back lower, pre-Delta levels by December of 2021.

AVERAGE NEW DAILY INFECTIONS FORECAST United States (Data as of September 10, 2021)

- 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Thousands

12/10/2020

2/10/2021

4/10/2021

6/10/2021

8/10/2021

10/10/2021

12/10/2021

New Infections

Baseline

Upside

Downside

Source: IHME, Cushman & Wakefield Research; *Estimates include confirmed infections and estimates of those not tested.

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