PowerPoint Presentation
NYC Office Fundamentals Short U Scenario
18%
15
Key Points
16.7%
15.8%
15.1%
16%
MSF
14.6%
• Overall Manhattan vacancy was already rising, hitting 11.1% in 2019 • Direct Class A vacancy was 8.2% in 2019 and rises more sharply than the overall market • In 2020, the Short U impact pushes vacancy to 15.1%, and in 2021, to 16.7% • 2021 Q2 is the peak for both overall and Class A vacancy
10
14%
14.5%
12.9%
5
12%
10%
0
8%
-5
6%
4%
-10
2%
-15
0%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
New Supply
Net Absorption
Overall Vacancy
Class A Vacancy
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Asking rents are gross, all classes, per square foot. Vacancy and rent growth are annual average % (changes) versus year-end. Class A figures are for direct space only.
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