NEW-Miami Occupier and Pricing Trends_C&W Q3 2023 RFS
An Overview of Miami CBD & Suburban Office Markets
Q3 2023 cushwakesouthfl.com
Copyright © 2023 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. Licensed Real Estate Broker.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Copyright © 2023 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. Licensed Real Estate Broker.
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MIAMI OCCUPIER & PRICING TRENDS Q3 2023 cushwakesouthfl.com
Q3 2023
Number of Buildings
Direct Vacant Space
Sublease Vacant Space
Direct Vacant Rate
Overall Vacancy Rate
Y-O-Y % PT. Change
Direct Wtd. Avg. Rental Rate
Overall Wtd. Avg. Rental Rates
Y-O-Y % Change
Y-O-Y Leasing Activity
Y-O-Y % Change
Quarter Overall Net Absorption
YTD Overall Net Absorption
YTD Construction Completions
Under Construction
Inventory
Miami-Dade OVERALL Brickell Avenue
21
6,351,603
455,974
19,465
7.2%
7.5%
-0.4%
$78.24
$78.02
16.6%
142,583
-81.6%
10,368
-109,415
0
638,355
Downtown
16
6,451,452
1,382,240
15,449 34,914 158,879
21.4%
21.7%
-2.7%
$54.62 $60.76 $45.04
$54.58
7.4%
308,679
2.6%
-39,525
69,719
0 0
127,800
Miami CBD
37
12,803,055 26,955,524
1,838,214
14.4% 15.4%
14.6% 16.0%
-1.7%
$60.68 $44.69
12.3%
451,262
-58.1%
(29,157)
(39,696)
766,155
Miami Non-CBD
256
4,163,462
0.1%
0.4%
1,252,401
-28.6% (26,389)
68,657
46,678
732,650
Wynwood | Midtown | Design District
21
2,351,957
436,968
7,759
18.6%
18.9%
-4.2%
$66.25
$66.03
0.4%
219,264
-24.5%
52,956
138,218
46,678
509,000
Coral Gables
41
5,861,934
903,398
18,384
15.4%
15.7%
-1.5%
$50.90
$50.84
2.0%
299,117
-9.6%
-85,659
-40,474
0
0
Coconut Grove
13
1,229,870
58,367
26,554
4.7%
6.9%
1.3%
$54.41
$54.41
14.4%
74,464
-51.7%
-5,863
-6,623
0
0
Miami Beach
16
1,394,115
196,068
0
14.1%
14.1%
-2.3%
$74.31
$74.31
2.1%
25,479
-83.3%
11,827
14,727
0
110,000
Airport West
75
9,660,892
1,893,285
58,559
19.6%
20.2%
1.7%
$38.57
$38.52
4.0%
446,445
-20.5%
-10,689
-17,867
0
0
South Dade
32
2,734,008
337,377
5,853
12.3%
12.6%
3.8%
$41.22
$41.14
7.3%
69,807
-5.4%
-354
-31,700
0
0
Miami Lakes
28
1,445,544
226,988
33,248
15.7%
18.0%
-1.3%
$32.00
$30.15
-4.1%
59,257
170.5%
7,484
2,924
0
0
Northeast Dade
18
1,553,026
73,669
8,522
4.7%
5.3%
-0.2% -5.4%
$51.42
$50.83
0.0%
40,323
-65.3%
-7,707
-6,094
0 0 0
113,650
Coral Way
6 6
397,940
7,636
0 0
1.9%
1.9%
$33.14
$33.14
-7.0%
6,630
-75.1%
11,616
14,616
0 0
South Gables/South Miami
326,238
29,706
9.1%
9.1%
-2.9%
$51.31
$51.31
2.1%
11,615
-54.6%
0
930
Overall Totals
293
39,758,579
6,001,676
193,793
15.1%
15.6%
-0.5%
$50.20
$49.85
4.6%
1,703,663
-39.8%
-55,546
28,961
46,678
1,498,855
CLASS A Brickell Avenue
11
4,011,458
200,118
12,028
5.0%
5.3%
-1.4%
$98.28
$98.28
26.5%
99,697
-83.6%
7,601
-22,274
0
638,355
Downtown
7
4,514,273
902,987
13,061
20.0%
20.3%
-3.4%
$64.94
$64.77
9.1%
271,459
25.7%
-37,068
17,079
0
127,800
Miami CBD
18
8,525,731
1,103,105
25,089
12.9%
13.2%
-1.8%
$71.29
$71.10
13.0%
371,156
-55.0%
-29,467
-5,195
0
766,155
Miami Non-CBD
97
13,463,508
2,398,187
69,535
17.8%
18.3%
-0.5%
$49.79
$49.45
2.5%
732,860
-29.5%
-64,361
64,063
46,678
403,650
Wynwood | Midtown | Design District
10
1,104,006
317,277
5,206
28.7%
29.2%
-4.3%
$77.62
$77.62
15.1%
142,959
-37.5%
37,952
135,930
46,678
180,000
Coral Gables
19
3,078,060
640,272
3,963
20.8%
20.9%
-0.2%
$54.16
$53.96
0.8%
217,755
6.6%
-83,420
-42,328
0
0
26,852
-22.7%
0
0
0
0
$70.19
0.0%
Coconut Grove
5
626,917
31,294
0
5.0%
5.0%
2.7%
$70.19
Miami Beach
7
788,933
124,283
0
15.8%
15.8%
-3.7%
$76.64
$76.64
2.2%
16,399
-76.5%
5,418
15,636
0
110,000
Airport West
34
5,535,407
1,003,184
50,491
18.1%
19.0%
-0.6%
$40.71
$40.54
6.4%
262,707
-36.5%
-22,581
-32,515
0
0
South Dade
5
863,687
168,427
5,853
19.5%
20.2%
11.8%
$46.63
$14.00
-68.9%
25,532
165.7%
-5,385
-18,524
0
0
Miami Lakes
6
386,785
84,296
0
21.8%
21.8%
-4.0%
$33.41
$33.41
5.9%
31,957
260.6%
5,647
13,967
0
0
Northeast Dade
9
983,595
29,154
4,022
3.0%
3.4%
0.3%
$57.31
$57.03
0.6%
8,699
-86.5%
-1,992
-8,103
0
113,650
Coral Way
0
0
0
0
N/A
N/A
0.0%
N/A
N/A
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0
0
0
South Gables/South Miami
2
96,118
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
N/A
N/A
0.0%
0
-100.0%
0
0
0
0
Class A Totals
115
21,989,239
3,501,292
94,624
15.9%
16.4%
-1.0%
$57.24
$56.85
7.2%
1,104,016
-40.8%
-93,828
58,868
46,678
1,169,805
CLASS B Brickell Avenue
10
2,340,145
255,856
7,437
10.9%
11.3%
11.3%
$64.07
$63.89
24.5%
42,886
-74.4%
2,767
-87,141
0
0
Downtown
9
1,937,179
479,253
2,388
24.7%
24.9%
24.9%
$37.98
$37.98
3.2%
37,220
-56.2%
-2,457
52,640
0
0
Miami CBD
19
4,277,324
735,109
9,825
17.2%
17.4%
17.4%
$47.09
$47.11
18.1%
80,106
-68.3%
310
-34,501
0
0
Miami Non-CBD
159
13,492,016
1,765,275
89,344
13.1%
13.7%
13.7%
$39.86
$39.53
3.1%
519,541
-27.3%
37,972
4,594
0
329,000
Wynwood | Midtown | Design District
11
1,247,951
119,691
2,553
9.6%
9.8%
9.8%
$45.22 $45.28 $42.19
$45.04 $45.73 $42.19 $72.82 $36.19 $38.95 $28.74 $46.17 $33.14 $51.31 $41.82
8.6%
76,305 81,362 47,612
23.6%
15,004 -2,239 -5,863 6,409 11,892 5,031 1,837 -5,715 11,616
2,288
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
329,000
Coral Gables
22
2,783,874
263,126
14,421
9.5% 4.5% 11.9% 21.6% 9.0% 13.5%
10.0%
10.0%
13.3% -0.6%
-35.6% -60.2%
1,854
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Coconut Grove Miami Beach Airport West South Dade Miami Lakes Northeast Dade
8 9
602,953
27,073
26,554
8.9%
8.9%
-6,623
605,182
71,785
0
11.9%
11.9%
$72.82
2.3%
9,080
-89.1%
-909
41
4,125,485 1,870,321 1,058,759 569,431 397,940 230,120 17,769,340
890,101 168,950 142,692
8,068
21.8% 9.0% 16.6%
21.8% 9.0% 16.6%
$36.19 $38.95 $31.24 $47.10 $33.14
3.0% 9.0% -8.4% -1.9% -7.0%
183,738 44,275 27,300 31,624 6,630
24.5% -31.1% 109.3% -39.1% -75.1% -44.2% -38.0%
14,648 -13,176 -11,043 2,009 14,616
27 22
0
33,248
9 6 4
44,515
4,500
7.8% 1.9%
8.6%
8.6%
Coral Way
7,636
0 0
1.9%
1.9%
South Gables/South Miami
29,706
12.9% 14.1%
12.9% 14.6%
12.9% 14.6%
$51.31
2.1% 7.6%
11,615
0
930
599,647
38,282
-29,907
329,000
Class B Totals
178
2,500,384
99,169
$42.09
Note: Cushman & Wakefield is continuously refining its database. Due to adjustments made to the inventory, vacancy & leasing activity which affects absorption, current figures may not match what was published previously. Historical data has been adjusted to take in account these changes. This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman & Wakefield on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. Copyright @ 2023 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 3
ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2023 Q3
1.8% 10.1% Miami Unemployment Rate Quarter following shutdown
August 2023 June 2020
HIGHLIGHTS Miami continued its healthy climb into a national player within the office sector as economic fundamentals improved. The county’s unemployment rate fell by 70 basis points year-over-year (YOY) to 1.8% at the close of Q3. Tenant, residential, and tourist retention and attraction is still tracking as Miami’s nonagricultural jobs increased by 37,900 from this time last year. From 2021-2022, Miami recorded the 8th highest net migration in the U.S. and is projected to have healthy net migration through 2027.
SOUTH FLORIDA Hottest Migration Destination Among Top Metros
4 10 of the in the Nation # Top
Current tenants touring for office space totaled nearly 2.7 million square feet (msf) and were led by the following industries:
2023-2026 Forecasted Net Migration
2023-2026 Forecasted Net Migration
Dallas, TX
542,000 SF Business Services
277,500 SF Financial Services
213,500 SF Legal
Phoenix, AZ
Houston, TX
South Florida, FL
Atlanta, GA
400,000 SF Cruise
274,000 SF Healthcare
144,600 SF Real Estate
Orlando, FL
Austin, TX
Tampa, FL
Charlotte, NC
312,500 SF Tech
269,000 SF Education
100,000 SF Government
Seattle, WA
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Source: Redfin, Bloomberg; Wealthmanagement.com
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 1
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS For the second consecutive quarter, the office market saw a slight correction as supply outpaced demand, posting negative absorption of more than 55,000 sf of returned office space to the market in Q3. Despite economic headwinds, year-to-date (YTD) absorption remained in the black with 29,000 sf of absorbed space so far in 2023. Occupancy gains were led by the suburban submarkets with over 68,000 sf of YTD net absorption gains, while Miami’s CBD recorded nearly 40,000 sf of negative net absorption through the close of Q3.
MIAMI CLASS A UNDER CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY, Q3 2023 SF
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
Brickell (CBD)
NE Dade
Biscayne
Miami Beach
SUBURBAN CONSTRUCTION (SF)
CBD CONSTRUCTION (SF)
MIAMI HISTORICAL DELIVERIES, 2013-Q3 2023 SF
SF
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000
MIAMI UNDER CONSTRUCTION HISTORICAL TRENDS, 2013 - Q3 2023
SF
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
1,000,000
A B
500,000
CLASS B
CLASS A
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
CLASS B
CLASS A
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS Leasing activity in Q3 remained level from the previous quarter with 471,000 sf of new deals signed, bringing over 1.7 msf of leases signed YTD. Demand has noticeably fallen from the 2.8 msf recorded this time one year ago, as companies ease back from the previous two years’ healthy demand. The flight to quality held with 64.8% of new deals signed in Class A product. The Airport West submarket led the market in deals signed, contributing 26.2% of new leases with Downtown following suit with 18.1% of activity. SUBMARKETS: “HONORABLE MENTIONS” Coral Gables rounded out the top three in leasing activity with nearly 300,000 sf of new deals signed. Although the submarket saw supply outpace demand during Q3, this should be made up in the near future as companies find the suburban submarket an affordable and close location alternative to Miami’s CBD. The Wynwood/Midtown & Design District corridor also appeared to benefit from its close proximity to the CBD as the only other submarket experiencing over 200,000 sf of new deals signed so far in 2023. Notably placing it above the Brickell Avenue Submarket’s 142,000 sf of new leasing activity.
MIAMI DIRECT VACANCY (%), 2013 - Q3 2023
Percent
10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
MIAMI TOTAL NET ABSORPTION, 2013 - Q3 2023
SF
(600,000) (400,000) (200,000) 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
MIAMI LEASING ACTIVITY 2013 - Q3 2023
SF
MIAMI AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 2023
MIAMI LEASING ACTIVITY 2013 - 3Q 2023
1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000
Quoted Rate PSF
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
0 500,000
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 YTD
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
A
B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 3
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS NEW OFFICE CONSTRUCTION
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 4
Downtown 68% of CBD Leases
Direct Class A: $71.29 PSF Direct Class B: $47.09 PSF
Year-to-Date Leasing 451K SF
Largest Volume Executed YTD:
CLASS A & CLASS B BUILDINGS 82% % of SF Leased in Class A Buildings
YTD Overall Net Absorption -39,696 SF
14.4% Q3 2023 Direct Vacancy
638,355 SF Under Construction
CBD OVERVIEW
HIGHLIGHTS Most of Miami’s new inventory built since 2010 was in the CBD, increasing Class A product by nearly 2.6 msf over the past 13 years. No new buildings have been delivered since 2018, with only two projects currently under construction combining for over 766,000 sf. This was over 51.0% of the total office space underway throughout the county and over 72.0% preleased, with all of the deals signed taking place in the 638,000 sf at 830 Brickell Avenue project. Notably, Class A inventory’s overall vacancy rate of 12.9% recorded at the close of Q3 matched the previous record low rate recorded in 2020 prior to the impacts of the global pandemic. The affects from COVID-19 caused overall vacancy for trophy properties to peak at 16.6% at midyear 2021. Since then, Miami’s CBD Class A office segment rebounded in force, dropping 370 bps over the past two years and remained well below the 17.8% high recorded in 2013 after the Great Recession. The CBD is well positioned to absorb any increases in added Class A supply from current economic headwinds along with new developments.
Percent CBD - DIRECT VACANCY (%) 2013 - Q3 2023
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
CBD CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Submarket
Address/Building Name
Construction Type Construction Status
Class
Office Sqft
Class A
Class B
Brickell Avenue 830 Brickell Plaza/830 Brickell
Speculative
Under Construction
A
638,355
Downtown
Offices @ 601
Speculative
Under Construction
A
127,800
One Brickell City Centre/ One Brickell City Centre
Brickell Avenue
Speculative
Proposed
A
1,170,000
Brickell Avenue 1201 Brickell Bay Drive/Citadel HQ
Build-To-Suit
Proposed
A
900,000
Brickell Avenue 848 Brickell Avenue/
Speculative
Proposed
A
704,000
Downtown
700 N Miami Ave/Miami Worldcenter
Speculative
Proposed
A
540,000
100 South Biscayne Boulevard/ One Bayfront Plaza ll
Downtown
Speculative
Proposed
A
537,200
312 S Miami Ave/ MRP Plat 6 Mixed Use Project
Downtown
Speculative
Proposed
A
462,492
Brickell Avenue 888 Brickell Ave/888 Brickell
Speculative
Proposed
A
304,950
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 5
Brickell Avenue 1105-1133 SW 2nd Ave/ 1 Southside Park
Speculative
Proposed
A
200,000
CBD EXECUTED LEASING ACTIVITY SELECTED TRANSACTIONS, Q2-Q3 2023
CBD OVERVIEW
Submarket
Building Name
Tenant Name
Leased SF
NAICS Description
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS Supply barely outpaced demand during Q3 with just over 29,000 sf of negative net absorption experienced in Q3. This slight correction can be attributed to the 39,000 sf of supply returned within the Downtown Miami submarket during the quarter. However, the 39,000 sf of YTD negative absorption for the CBD can be attributed to the 109,000 sf of returned supply from the Brickell Avenue Submarket. Despite this slight correction, the Brickell Avenue corridor still boasts a low 7.5% vacancy rate as tight market conditions remained in Miami’s premier submarket.
Downtown
Wells Fargo Center
Greenberg Traurig, P.A.
128,450
Legal Services
Brickell Avenue 701 Brickell
Holland & Knight LLP
121,032
Legal Services
Downtown
Miami Tower
Quest Workspaces
26,113
Lessors of Real Estate
Downtown
One Biscayne Tower
Foley & Lardner
25,480
Legal Services
Temporary Help Services
Downtown
Miami Tower
TempMee Hygienists
21,126
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS - Q3 2023
Brickell Avenue Brickell Bay Office Tower
Sidley Austin
18,622
Legal Services
Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
YTD Completions
Under Construction
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
Brickell Avenue 1450 Brickell
Balyansy Asset Management
16,400
Downtown
Citigroup Center
15,214
CBD Class A CBD Class B
0
766,155
8,525,731
12.9% 13.2% -5,195
$71.29
Downtown
Museum Tower
LUKS AND SANTANIELLO, LLC
13,637
Legal Services
0
0
4,277,324
17.2% 17.4% -34,501
$47.09
Other Financial Investment Activities
Brickell Avenue 1450 Brickell
Jeffries LLC
12,650
Totals
0
638,355
12,803,055 14.4% 14.6% -39,696
$60.76
Suburban Executed Lease
CBD Executed Lease
Brickell Executed Lease
Downtown Executed Lease
5%
1% 3% 1% 4%
CBD LEASING ACTIVITY BY TENANT INDUSTRY YTD % OF TOTAL SF LEASED BY EMPLOYMENT INDUSTRY
DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS Demand has noticeably slowed as a result from the national economic headwinds experienced throughout the nation. Nearly 100,000 sf of new deals were signed during Q3, combining for more than 451,000 sf YTD of new leasing activity. This was down 58.1% from lease deals reported through Q3 one year ago. Class A space continued to dominate demand with over 82.0% of all deals done being reported in high end office space. PRICING HIGHLIGHTS The CBD’s overall average asking rate continued to climb upward, increasing by 12.3% YOY with both classes of space in the CBD experiencing consecutive growth over the past four quarters. Although market fundamentals have slowed, landlords have yet to concede on asking rents, especially in Class A product and particularly in the Brickell Avenue submarket where the overall average soared 26.5% above from the rate reported one year ago.
20%
Legal
Government
Manufacturing
F.I.R.E.
Business Services
Healthcare
53%
Tech
Construction
13%
Coral Gables Executed Lease Quoted Rate PSF CBD - AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 2023 Coconut Grove Executed Lease
Airport West Executed Lease
Kendall Executed Lease
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A Class B
Class A
Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 6
BRICKELL CBD
BRICKELL DIRECT VACANCY (%), 2013 - Q3 2023
Percent 20.0%
15.0%
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS Demand growth continued to ease back, barely outpacing supply during Q3, as year-to-date net absorption remained in the red by nearly 110,000 sf. This can be attributed to the slight reduction in office footprint from existing tenants while other smaller or midsize companies have opted for affordability by relocating to the downtown corridor or close by in nearby suburban submarkets.
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS | Q3 2023
Class A
Class B
YTD Completions
Under Construction
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
BRICKELL TOTAL NET ABSORPTION, 2013 - Q3 2023
Brickell Class A Brickell Class B
0
638,355
4,011,458
5.0%
5.3%
-22,274
$98.28
SF
300,000
0
0
2,340,145
10.9%
11.3%
-87,141
$64.07
200,000
Totals
0
638,355 6,351,603
7.2%
7.5% -109,415
$78.24
100,000
DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS The submarket experienced a healthy recovery beginning in 2021 with the overall vacancy rate falling well below the 10.0% threshold, signifying tight market conditions. At the close of Q3, the vacancy rate of 7.6% was one of the lowest throughout the state. Leasing activity totaled nearly 150,000 sf through the first three quarters of this year, a noticeable decrease by 81.6% from the new deals reported during the same time one year ago. PRICING HIGHLIGHTS Brickell Avenue’s allure to new companies from outside the market pushed pricing for office space to levels never once thought possible. Deals are being signed well over the $110 psf FSG market and asking rents for premier Class A space are ranging between $150 and $200 psf FSG.
0
(100,000)
(200,000)
(300,000)
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
BRICKELL AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 2023
Quoted Rate PSF
Buildings commanding the highest FSG rents included: • 830 Brickell Avenue - $160.00-$200.00 psf • 701 Brickell - $120.00-$140.00 psf • Brickell World Plaza - $100.00-$115.00 psf • 801 Brickell - $90.00-$120.00 psf • Brickell Key Centre I & II - $85.00 - $115.00 psf • 1450 Brickell - $95.00-$110.00 psf
$120.00
$100.00
$80.00
$60.00
$40.00
$20.00
$0.00
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 7
BRICKELL CBD SURROUNDING AREA OTHER DEVELOPMENT
Residential – Units begin at $2.8 Million 1809 Brickell Avenue ST. REGIS RESIDENCES – BRICKELL (PROPOSED)
VIRGIN HOTELS (UC / 2025 DELIVERY)
Luxury Residential with 80,000 SF of Amenities 1428 Brickell Avenue THE RESIDENCES AT 1428 BRICKELL (PROPOSED / 2027 DELIVERY)
Hotel, Co-Living Units, Music Venue, Spa & Library 1040 S. Miami Avenue
1001 BRICKELL BAY DR - AIMCO (PROPOSED)
$1.0 Billion, 4.0 MSF-Hotel, Office, Residential, Retail & Miami 401 SW 3rd Avenue THE RIVER DISTRICT – CHETRIT & GROOT HOSPITALITY (UC & PROPOSED / 5-7 YEAR BUILD OUT)
Residential – 2.6 MSF, 3 Towers 1420 S Miami Avenue CIPRIANI RESIDENCES MIAMI (PROPOSED)
Mixed-Use, 3 Towers – 3.0 MSF 1001 Brickell Bay Drive
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 8
DOWNTOWN MIAMI
DOWNTOWN MIAMI DIRECT VACANCY (%) 2013 - Q3 2023
Percent
30.0%
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS Overall vacancy was 21.7% at the close of Q3, a 270-bp decrease YOY. This marks the lowest rate seen in the submarket since Q4 of 2020, as Class A space contributed to a 340-bp drop YOY to 20.3% at the close of Q3. New development is coming from mixed-use projects with notable office components. The completion of the Offices @ 601 at Miami World Center will add a 127,600-sf office component on three floors to Miami’s CBD supply.
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS | Q3 2023
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
YTD Completions
Under Construction
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
Downtown Class A Downtown Class B
DOWNTOWN MIAMI TOTAL NET ABSORPTION, 2013 - Q3 2023
0
127,800
4,514,273
20.0%
20.3%
17,079
$64.94
SF 150,000
0
0
1,937,179
24.7%
24.9%
52,640
$37.98
100,000
Totals
0
0
6,451,452
21.4%
21.7%
69,719
$54.62
50,000
0
DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS The submarket has experienced a strong gentrification push over the past 15 years which has translated into substantial residential growth combined with increased office development and has become a more affordable location for companies wanting a CBD presence. Although supply just outpaced demand during Q3 in Downtown Miami, the submarket posted nearly 70,000 sf of positive net absorption YTD so far in 2023. Over 308,000 sf of new lease deals have taken place YTD Downtown, making it the only submarket to record YOY growth in transaction activity, with an increase by 2.6% from the same time last year. This can be attributed to the 25.7% YOY increase in Class A deals totaling over 271,000 sf. PRICING HIGHLIGHTS Direct rent grew by 7.4% YOY, inching closer to the $55.00 psf FSG mark and remaining an affordable alternative to the rising costs for office space in the Brickell Avenue Submarket. Downtown Miami average rates remained below three key suburban submarkets including Coconut Grove and Miami Beach.
(50,000)
(100,000)
(150,000)
(200,000)
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
DOWNTOWN MIAMI AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 2023
Quoted Rate PSF
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00
Buildings commanding the highest FSG rents included:
• Southeast Financial Center - $55.00 - $90.00 psf • Wells Fargo Center - $55.00 - $70.00 psf • Citigroup Center - $58.00 - $64.00 psf
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A Class B
Class A
Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 9
DOWNTOWN SURROUNDING AREA OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
LEGACY TOWER HOTEL & RESIDENCES @ MIAMI WORLDCENTER (UC / 2024 DELIVERY)
Residential, Retail & Office 10-City Block, Master Planned Development NW Quadrant of NE 2nd Avenue and NE 10TH Street MIAMI WORLD CENTER (UC & PROPOSED / 2020 / PHASED DELIVERIES)
MANA TECH HUB & FLAGLER ST REDEVELOPMENT (UC & PROPOSED / PHASED DELIVERIES)
Tech Hub/Offices, Food Hall, Retail, Micro Units, Art & Design University & Park Flagler St, SE & SW 1 st Avenues, NW & SW 2 nd Streets & N. Miami Ave
Residential, Hotel, Medical Center, Offices (Adventis Health) & Diagnostic/Health Spa Facilities & Retail / 36 NE 10th Street
I-395 $802 MILLION RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT (UC 4Q 2019 / 2026 DELIVERY)
22 EAST FLAGLER-FORMER BURDINES SITE – AETNA REALTY (PROPOSED)
Residential, Hotel, Retail, Meeting/Convention Space, Co-working, Riverwalk & Public Space | 1.5 MSF | 400 SE 2nd Ave MIAMI RIVERBRIDGE – $1.7 BILLION HYATT & KNIGHT CENTER REDEVELOPMENT (PROPOSED)
Residential, Hotel, Office & Retail 22 East Flagler Street
Signature Bridge over Biscayne Blvd., rebuilding of the I-395 corridor & enhanced streetscape design | I-395 and Biscayne Blvd
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 10
STRATEGIC MIAMI AREA RAPID TRANSIT (SMART) PLAN This Corridor runs from the Design District/Midtown Miami and Downtown Miami to the Miami Beach Convention Center area. This bold infrastructure program projects:
• Significantly improve transportation mobility
• Promote economic growth and job creation
• Increase region’s international competitiveness
ORLANDO
Connectivity to Fort Lauderdale, Boca Raton, West Palm Beach and Orlando
WEST PALM BEACH
BOCA RATON
FT. LAUDERDALE
AVENTURA
MIAMI
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 11
Largest Volume Executed YTD: Airport & Coral Gables 72% of Total Leases
Direct Class A: $49.79 PSF Direct Class B: $39.86 PSF
Year-to-Date Leasing 1.0MSF
CLASS A & CLASS B BUILDINGS 71% of SF Leased in Class A Buiding Year-To-Date Leasing
Pre-leased 20% Under Construction Inventory
15.4% Q3 2023 Direct Vacancy
732,65 SF Under Construction
SUBURBAN OVERVIEW
HIGHLIGHTS Adding a breather to supply levels, no buildings have yet to be delivered this year and less than 360,000 SF were under construction at the close of third quarter - with approximately 40% pre-leased. The Suburbs accounted for the lion’s share of Miami’s positive Q3 2023 absorption.
Percent SUBURBAN DIRECT VACANCY (%) 2013 - Q3 2023 25.0%
20.0%
SUBURBAN CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
15.0%
Construction Type
Construction Status
Submarket
Address/Building Name
Class
Office Sqft
10.0%
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
95 NW 29th St /Wynwood Plaza
Speculative Under Construction
B
266,000
5.0%
30 NE 39th Street/The Ursa
Speculative Under Construction
A
180,000
0.0%
Northeast Dade
3050 Aventura Blvd/[Old Safra Bank]
Speculative Under Construction
A
113,650
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Miami Beach
944 5th St/The Fifth
Speculative Under Construction
A
70,000
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
2150 N Miami Ave/WNWD 21
Speculative Under Construction
B
63,000
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
Miami Beach
1752 Bay Rd/Eighteen Sunset
Speculative Under Construction
A
40,000
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District Northeast Dade
6001 NE 2nd Ave/ Magic City Innovation District
Speculative
Proposed
A
585,000
4201 NE 2nd Ave/Parterre 42
Speculative
Proposed
A
320,000
2750 NE 199th Street/Two Turnberry
Speculative
Proposed
A
220,000
2701 NW 5th Ave/LYNQ Wynwood - South Building
Speculative
Proposed
A
209,000
2600 Biscayne Boulevard/ 2600 Biscayne Boulevard
Speculative
Proposed
A
160,000
2703 NW 5th Avenue/ LYNQ Wynwood-North Building 120 MacArthur Cswy Block-B/ One Island Park Block-B
Speculative
Proposed
A
153,964
Miami Beach
Speculative
Proposed
A
132,522
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
390 NW 25th St/ CORE Wynwood
Speculative
Proposed
A
123,206
Miami Beach
1680 Alton Road/The Alton
Speculative
Proposed
A
89,610
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
2400-2500 N Miami Ave /LIVWRK Wynwood Office
Speculative
Proposed
A
88,518
Miami Lakes
14800 Oak Ln/Bob Graham Office Building
Build-To-Suit
Proposed
A
82,903
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 12
Coconut Grove
3120 Commodore Plaza/Urbin Coconut Grove Work
Speculative
Proposed
A
60,000
SUBURBAN EXECUTED LEASING ACTIVITY SELECTED TRANSACTIONS, Q2-Q3 2023
SUBURBAN OVERVIEW
Total SF Leased
Submarket
Building
Tenant
Business Sector
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS No major suburban office buildings have yet to deliver in 2023, with one small 46,000-sf completion in the Wynwood, Design District & Midtown submarket. This has limited any significant increases in vacancy, with the suburban office sector seeing a miniscule 10-bp YOY increase to 16.0%. For most suburban submarkets, supply and demand remained balanced throughout the year. Over 732,000 sf was under construction at the close of Q3 - with nearly 30.0% already spoken for. Approximately 70.0% of new office development in the suburban area fell within the Wynwood, Design District & Midtown submarket. Despite the slowdown in market fundamentals, projects expected to deliver over the next 24 months should not have a significant impact on increased vacancy.
Airport West
The Current
Simply Healthcare
54,755
Insurance Carriers
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
Performing Arts Companies
545Wyn
Sony Music
44,742
Biscayne/Wynwood/ Design District
Other Financial Investment Activities
545Wyn
Miami Exchange
38,409
BIOTISSUE HOLDINGS INC., f/k/a Tissuetech, Inc.
Specialized Design Services
Airport West
The Landing - Bldg 8
34,831
Coral Gables
Colonnade Office Tower
Ryder System
33,798
General Freight Trucking
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services
Airport West
6101 Waterford
Pike Engineering
23,357
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS | Q3 2023
Coral Gables
Alhambra Towers
21,834
YTD Completions
Under Construction
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
Coral Gables
The Plaza Coral Gables - North Tower Hinshaw & Culbertson LLP
21,376
Legal Services
Suburban Class A Suburban Class B
46,678
403,650 13,463,508
17.8% 18.3% 64,063
$49.79
Airport West
1000 Waterford
United Health
19,149
Insurance Carriers
0
329,000 13,492,016
13.1% 13.7% 4,594
$39.86
Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services
Coconut Grove
First Citizens Bank Tower
Alma DDB
17,945
Totals
46,678
732,650 26,955,524 15.4% 16.0% 68,657
$45.04
Suburban Executed Lease
CBD Executed Lease
Brickell Executed Lease
Downtown Executed Lease
Aventura Executed Lease
3% 4%
8%
3%
SUBURBAN LEASING ACTIVITY BY TENANT INDUSTRY YTD % OF TOTAL SF LEASED BY EMPLOYMENT INDUSTRY
DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS 2023 marked a shift in demand from the CBD back to suburban submarkets where over 68,000 sf of net occupancy gains were recorded so far for the year. Over 93.0% of this came from Class A space as the flight to quality still held throughout the market. Class B inventory continued to see more of a balance between demand and supply with a modest 4,500 sf of positive net absorption. Nearly 375,000 sf of new deals were signed during Q3, combining for more than 1.2 msf YTD of new leasing activity through the first three quarters. This was down 28.6% from lease deals reported through Q3 one year ago. Class A space continued to dominate demand with over 58.5% of all deals done being reported in high-end suburban office space. Three submarkets surpassed the 200,000-sf mark with Airport West leading the charge with more than 35.6% of Miami market deals. PRICING HIGHLIGHTS The suburbs’ direct average asking rate growth has slowed, increasing by 40 bps YOY to $44.69 psf FSG with both classes of space experiencing modest growth over the past four quarters. Landlords have yet to concede on asking rents, but have lessened quarterly rate hikes in the suburban submarkets. Class A product increased 2.5% YOY to just under the $50.00 psf FSG mark while Class B space recorded a more improved 3.1% YOY increase to $39.53 psf FSG. Asking rents will likely see milder increases over the next 12 to 18 months. Coral Gables Executed Lease Coconut Grove Executed Lease
17%
22%
Hospitality & Leisure
F.I.R.E
Healthcare
Manufacturing
Legal
Government
4%
Tech
Business Services
Construction
3%
36%
Airport West Executed Lease Quoted Rate PSF SUBURBAN - AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 Miami Beach Executed Lease
Kendall Executed Lease
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 13
WYNWOOD / BISCAYNE / DESIGN DISTRICT
WYNWOOD / BISCAYNE / DESIGN DISTRICT DIRECT VACANCY (%) 2019 - Q3 2023
Percent
10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 55.0%
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS Over 900,000 sf has delivered since 2019 with most of the new product developed within the Wynwood corridor. This was the contributing factor to the Class A segment’s overall vacancy peaking to nearly 50.0% during 2021. The submarket, once known as the Biscayne Submarket, covers an area just North of Downtown Miami up through NE 46th St. between Biscayne Blvd. and west to Interstate 95, making it easily accessible. It is considered Miami’s newest office submarket and is comprised of just over 2.3 msf of office inventory and another half-million sf under construction. The smaller inventory set is prone to significant fluctuations as it develops into a key suburban submarket.
0.0% 5.0%
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS | Q3 2023
Class A
Class B
Class A Class B
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
YTD Completions
Under Construction
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
WYNWOOD / BISCAYNE / DESIGN DISTRICT TOTAL NET ABSORPTION, 2019 - Q3 2023
Wynwood / Biscayne Design District Class A Wynwood / Biscayne Design District Class B
SF
46,678
180,000
1,104,006
28.7%
29.2% 135,930
$77.62
(100,000) (50,000) 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000
0
329,000
1,247,951
9.6%
9.8%
2,288
$45.22
Totals
46,678
509,000 2,351,957
18.6%
18.9% 138,218
$66.25
PRICING HIGHLIGHTS Direct rent growth slowed significantly with a 40 bps YOY increase to $66.25 psf FSG. This can be attributed to slight increases in quarterly rates within newly built Class A space. Notably, the average rates come in higher than the CBD’s downtown Miami corridor and will likely remain so even as more space becomes leased in higher-end office buildings, asking rents in lower-tier Class B buildings should have more of an impact to weighted averages. DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS Since the majority of new office product came online during the peak of the pandemic, higher-end office space has steadily declined to just under the 30.0% threshold as companies look to the submarket as a trendy alternative to Miami’s CBD. Overall vacancy decreased 420 bps YOY to 18.9%, with Class A vacant space falling by 4.3% from the close of Q3 one year ago. This marked the steepest dip out of all Miami’s key office submarkets. Leasing activity totaled over 219,000 sf YTD, placing the submarket fourth in deal activity and just above the Brickell Avenue submarket.
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A Class B
WYNWOOD / BISCAYNE / DESIGN DISTRICTAVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2019 - Q3 2023
Quoted Rate PSF
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A Class B
Class A
Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 14
WYNWOOD / BISCAYNE / DESIGN DISTRICT SURROUNDING AREA OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
AMLI WYNWOOD (UC / 2024 DELIVERY)
PARTERRE 42 - HELM EQUITIES & GINDI (PROPOSED)
SOCIETY WYNWOOD - PMG (UC / 2023 DELIVERY)
Residential, Retail & Green Space 70 NW 25th Street
$300 Million Office, Private Terraces, Event Space & Retail 4201 NE 2nd Avenue
Residential & Retail 2431 NW 2nd Avenue
THE URSA - DACRA, L CATTERTON & BROOKFIELD (UC / 2024 DELIVERY)
DIESEL - WYNWOOD QUARTER (6-PHASED DEVELOPMENT PROPOSED)
Hotel, Residential & Retail 176 NW 28th Street KRYMWOOD HOTEL (PROPOSED)
Office, Retail, Rooftop Deck & Biscayne Bay Views 30 NE 39th Street
Residential & Retail - World's 1st Diesel-Branded Residential Building 115-139 NW 28th Street (plus multiple sites)
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 15
CORAL GABLES
CORAL GABLES DIRECT VACANCY (%) 2013 - Q3 2023
Percent
25.0%
SUPPLY HIGHLIGHTS The submarket experienced a slight correction during Q3 with supply outpacing demand causing a net absorption loss of 85,659 sf. The majority of that space came from 1 Alhambra as the 6th, 7th and 8th floors were vacated respectively by Apple, Yahoo, and KIPU Health. Despite this, overall vacancy fell 30 bps from one year ago to land at 15.9%. Class A overall vacant space decreased YOY by 20 bps to 21.2% as occupations of new office inventory in the first half of the year helped keep occupancy in the black.
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS | Q3 2023
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
Existing Inventory SF
Direct Vacancy %
Total Vacancy %
Direct Wtg. Avg. Rental Rates
Total Vacancy %
YTD Net Absorption
Average Direct RR PSF Quoted
YTD Completions
Under Construction
YTD Net
CORAL GABLES TOTAL NET ABSORPTION, 2013 - Q3 2023
Coral Gables Class A
0
0
3,078,060 20.8% 20.9% -42,328 $54.16
37.2% 48,398
$73.43
SF
Coral Gables Class B
(250,000) (200,000) (150,000) (100,000) (50,000) 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
0
0
2,783,874 9.5% 10.0% 1,854
$45.28
2.0% -1,463
$49.61
Totals
0
0
5,861,934 15.4% 15.7% -40,474 $50.90
28.4% 46,935
$72.91
DEMAND HIGHLIGHTS Although supply outpaced demand to the recorded negative net absorption of -42,238 sf YTD, Ryder’s move-in of 33,798-sf at 2333 Ponce at the close of 2023 should offset some of the Q3 losses. Nearly 300,000 sf of new deals were signed YTD, a 9.6% dip from leasing activity signed through Q3 one year ago but marking Coral Gables as one of three submarkets that experienced only a slight drop versus more than 25.0%. PRICING HIGHLIGHTS Asking rent average growth slowed from the previous YOY increases as no new deliveries came online to drive rents upward, allowing lower-tier Class A and Class B space to have more of an impact. The Class A direct weighted average rose a moderate 1.9% YOY to push past the $54.00 psf FSG mark, while the Class B segment saw a stronger increase of 13.3% to over $45.00 psf.
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Class A
Class B
Class A
Class B
CORAL GABLES AVERAGE DIRECT RENTAL RATES, 2013 - Q3 2023
Quoted Rate PSF
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Class A
Class B
Class A Class B
Cushman & Wakefield of Florida, LLC. / 16
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