Industrial Mid-Year Report Q2 2020
Cushman & Wakefield Industrial Mid-Year Report - Q2 2020
Industrial Insider M I D -Y E A R R E P O R T | Q 2 2 0 2 0 DA L L A S / F O R T WO R T H , T E XA S
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
2
Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Table of Contents
MID-YEAR UPDATE
4
DFW MARKET OVERVIEW
8
DFW OVERVIEW: SUPPLY
14
DFW OVERVIEW: DEMAND
20
SUBMARKET SNAPSHOTS
26
28
Allen/McKinney
32
Alliance
38
Brookhollow/Trinity
42
DFW Airport
48
Far North/I-35
52
Garland
56
Great Southwest
62
Mesquite
68
North Dallas/Metropolitan
72
North Fort Worth
76
Pinnacle/Turnpike
80
Redbird
84
Richardson/Plano/Frisco
88
South Dallas
94
South Fort Worth
100
Valwood/N Stemmons
104
Walnut Hill/Stemmons
ACTIVE LISTINGS
108
Q2 2020
3
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
75
35
AUBREY
MELISSA
380
DECATUR
380
DENTON
MCKINNEY
FARME
35W
Allen/McKinney
287
Far North/I-35
ALLEN
35E
PLANO
75
Richardson/Plano
FLOWER MOUND
Valwood/ N Stemmons
Alliance
RICHARDSON
COPPELL
North Dallas/ Metropolitan
ROWLETT
30
KELLER
35E
DFW Airport
35W
Garland
Walnut Hill/ Stemmons
12
North Fort Worth
IRVING
635
East Da
75
Brookhollow/Trinity
Central Dallas
HALTOM CITY
DAL LAS
West Fort Worth
Pinnacle/Turnpike
East Fort Worth
Mesquite
30
ARLINGTON
Central Fort Worth
GRAND PRAIRIE
30
20
Great Southwest
FORT WORTH
20
12
Redbird
20
20
BENBROOK
DUNCANVILLE
35W
South Dallas
175
South Fort Worth
CEDAR HILL
LANCASTER
287
BURLESON
FERRIS
CRESSON
34
45
35E
MIDLOTHIAN
35W MID YEAR NET ABSORPTION (16.1 MSF) OUTPACED THE 14.9 MSF OF MID-YEAR CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS, TIGHTENING THE OVERALL VACANCY RATE TO 6.1% (LOWER BY 20 BASIS POINTS FROM 2019 YEAR-END).
4 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
N
Mid-Year Update
Welcome back to The Industrial Insider. We hope you and your families have been staying healthy and safe. Our team is excited to present the state of the Dallas/Fort Worth industrial market with our Industrial Insider – 2020 Mid- Year Report . In this report, we summarize the performance of the DFW industrial market year-to-date and inform you on what to expect during the second half of the year. The DFW industrial market had a strong start to 2020 despite the arrival of the COVID-19 global pandemic, posting 16.1 MSF of overall net absorption year-to-date. This puts DFW on track to surpass 20 MSF in net absorption for the sixth consecutive year. Mid-year net absorption outpaced
the 14.9 MSF of mid-year construction completions, tightening the overall vacancy rate to 6.1% (lower by 20 basis points from 2019 year-end). Construction activity remains elevated with 23.5 MSF of new supply under construction today (compared to 28.4 MSF under construction at the end of 2019), of which, 3.7 MSF (16%) is build- to-suit or preleased product. Looking ahead to the second half of 2020, we believe the DFW market will continue to see robust supply and demand activity. Current active tenant requirements continue to be strong at approximately 17 MSF. We hope you find this special 2020 Mid-Year Report edition of our Industrial Insider informative.
ERSVILLE
380
ROYSE CITY
allas
34
TERRELL
KAUFMAN
175
Kurt Griffin, SIOR Executive Managing Director +1 972 663 9818 kurt.griffin@cushwake.com
Nathan Orbin, SIOR Executive Managing Director +1 972 663 9819 nathan.orbin@cushwake.com
Ann Jaggars Analyst +1 972 663 9775 ann.jaggars@cushwake.com
Q2 2020
5
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Special Thanks to our Landlord Clients for a Great Start to 2020
6 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
7
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Overview
8 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
9
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Overview
The Dallas/Fort Worth industrial market has had quite an impressive start to 2020, holding its role as a leader among major U.S. gateway markets from both a supply and demand perspective. Tenants, developers and investors continue to seek opportunities in the DFW industrial market. DFW’s central location allows it to function as one of the nation’s largest logistics and distribution hubs, giving businesses an edge by putting key markets within easy reach of both truck, air, and rail shipping. Strong industrial demand in the DFW market continues, as demonstrated by the 16.1 MSF of net absorption at mid-year. New supply delivered during the first two quarters equaled 14.9 MSF, of which nearly 50% is accounted for by tenants. Speculative product accounts for 74% (11.1 MSF) of mid-year deliveries, 30% (3.4 MSF) of which has leased.
There is 23.5 MSF of new supply under construction at mid-year, 88% (20.8 MSF) of which is speculative product. Mid-year vacancy is 6.1%, down 20 bps from year-end 2019. However, we expect to see a slight increase in overall vacancy by year- end as a majority of the 20.8 MSF of speculative product (currently 7% pre- leased) delivers. Biggest move-ins during the first half of 2020 include Home Depot (1.5 MSF) in GSW, Goodyear (1.2 MSF) in East Dallas, Amazon (1 MSF) at DFW Airport and Callaway Golf (783K SF) in Alliance. Looking ahead, our team remains very optimistic as DFW is well positioned to experience elevated demand to keep up with the current construction activity, resulting in below average vacancy and continued rent growth.
BIGGEST MOVE- INS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF 2020 INCLUDE HOME DEPOT (1.5 MSF) IN GSW, GOODYEAR (1.2 MSF) IN FORNEY, AMAZON (1 MSF) AT DFW AIRPORT AND CALLAWAY GOLF (783K SF) IN ALLIANCE.
MARKET SUMMARY
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD 2020
629.4
636.8
653.9
673.4
694.5
722.8
750.9
775.6
790.1
Inventory (MSF) Overall Net Absorption (MSF) Overall Vacancy
12.1
17.4
15.6
20.2
23.7
25.9
22.9
30.2
16.1
8.7% 7.0% 7.1% 6.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.1%
Completions (MSF)
2.1
7.4
17.1
19.6
21.2
29.2
26.9
24.4
14.9
Under Construction (MSF)
4.0
13.9
16.6
20.3
26.6
19.3
21.7
28.4
23.5
10 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
DFW Overview
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION 16.1 MSF 6.1% 14.9 MSF 23.5 MSF OVERALL VACANCY
COMPLETIONS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
HISTORICAL DFW INDUSTRIAL ABSORPTION
35 MSF
30 MSF
25 MSF
20 MSF
15 MSF
10 MSF
5 MSF
MSF
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Est. 2020
NET ABSORPTION 20 MSF THRESHOLD NET ABSORPTION 20 MSF THRESHOLD
Q2 2020
11
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
VACANCY
15-Year Historical Average = 8.5% 15- EAR HISTORICAL AVERAGE = 8.5%
10.0%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2012
2013 YTD 2020 2015 2014
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL AVERAGE
NET ABSORPTIONS / COMPLETIONS
NET ABSORPTION / COMPLETIONS
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0 Millions
10.0
5.0
0.0
2013 YTD 2020 2015 2014
2012
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION COMPLETIONS
12 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
DFW Overview
Overall Vacancy Rate
YTDNet Absorption
Under Construction
YTD Completions
Submarket
Inventory
Allen/McKinney
10,750,366
6.2%
73,234
919,165
0
Brookhollow/Trinity
49,121,429
2.3%
254,564
0
0
Central Dallas
14,299,051
2.6%
-48,141
0
0
DFW Airport
89,191,746
7.7%
1,298,304
4,885,479
2,060,154
Far North/I-35
21,715,047
4.4%
97,151
1,745,596
0
Garland
44,724,051
5.3%
660,618
355,071
0
Great Southwest
116,745,635
4.5%
2,940,870
576,123
1,901,557
Mesquite
20,611,202
11.4%
926,043
1,865,513
0
North Dallas/Metropolitan
19,035,527
3.1%
190,872
0
0
Pinnacle/Turnpike
30,454,102
5.7%
1,224,330
392,220
1,281,694
Redbird
23,231,527
2.5%
299,000
0
0
Richardson/Plano
36,814,982
7.1%
1,039,674
402,946
964,565
East Dallas
11,776,983
0.4%
1,203,939
275,600
1,207,538
South Dallas
57,402,297
12.4%
2,295,033
616,043
450,000
Valwood/N Stemmons
51,451,040
3.4%
417,349
71,100
334,405
Walnut Hill/Stemmons
22,509,987
2.5%
166,843
0
388,904
DALLAS TOTAL
619,834,972
5.6%
13,039,683
12,104,856
8,588,817
Alliance
51,466,576
14.8%
1,359,636
7,456,540
5,237,864
Central Fort Worth
15,936,495
2.0%
-19,499
0
0
East Fort Worth
23,600,202
1.6%
252,718
0
0
North Fort Worth
47,117,692
7.1%
720,868
952,764
1,064,500
South Fort Worth
27,942,721
5.1%
757,130
3,008,568
0
West Fort Worth
4,181,020
5.4%
1,249
0
0
FORT WORTH TOTAL
170,244,706
7.8%
3,072,102
11,417,872
6,302,364
DFW TOTAL
790,079,678
6.1%
16,111,785
23,522,728
14,891,181
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Q2 2020
13
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Overview: Supply
14 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
15
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Supply
Completed First Generation Vacancies
upply
N Stemmons/Valwood
Far North/I-35
Walnut Hill/Stemmons
Garland
South Fort Worth
Mesquite R ichardson/Plano
pleted Construction
A lliance
Pinnacle/Turnpike
GSW
FIRST GENERA TION VACANCIES COMPLETED FIRST GENERATION VACANCIES
DFW A irport
South Dallas
North Ft Worth
Allen/McKinney Far North/I-35 Mesquite Pinnacle/Turnpike Redbird Walnut Hill/Stemmons
Alliance Garland N Stemmons/Valwood
GSW North Ft Worth South Ft Worth Richardson/Plano
South Dallas DFW Airport
16 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
SUM OF AVAILABLE SPACE - Completed First Generation Vacancies
(VACANCY WITHIN RANGE)
Building Size (SF)
100,000-249,999 250,000-499,999 500,000-749,999 750,000+
Grand Total
Alliance
1,024,566
1,091,240
677,429
2,092,178
4,885,413
DFW Airport
789,667
1,364,170
2,153,837
Far North/I-35
219,808
219,808
Garland
315,084
315,084
GSW
1,074,466
1,074,466
Mesquite
584,089
584,089
N Stemmons/Valwood
311,905
311,905
North Ft Worth
961,008
581,000
1,023,488
2,565,496
Pinnacle/Turnpike
608,939
608,939
Richardson/Plano
466,110
466,110
South Dallas
795,403
458,576
660,312
900,043
2,814,334
South Ft Worth
106,308
106,308
Walnut Hill/Stemmons
199,070
199,070
Total
5,188,929
3,988,452
3,111,769
4,015,709
16,304,859
COUNT OF AVAILABLE SPACE - Completed First Generation Vacancies
(VACANCY WITHIN RANGE)
Building Size (SF)
100,000-249,999 250,000-499,999 500,000-749,999 750,000+
Grand Total
Alliance
6
3
1
2
12
DFW Airport
6
3
9
Far North/I-35
1
1
Garland
2
2
GSW
3
3
Mesquite
1
1
N Stemmons/Valwood
2
2
North Ft Worth
5
1
1
7
Pinnacle/Turnpike
1
1
Richardson/Plano
3
3
South Dallas
5
1
1
1
8
South Ft Worth
1
1
Walnut Hill/Stemmons
1
1
Total
32
10
5
4
51
Q2 2020
17
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Supply
upply
Under Construction Vacancies
nder Construction
A llen/McK inney
South Ft Worth
South Dallas
Pinnacle/Turnpike
North Ft Worth
A lliance
UNDER CONSTRUCTION VACANCIES UNDER CONSTRUCTION VACANCIES
Mesquite
Garland GSW
Far North/I -35
DFW A irport
Allen/McKinney Far North/I-35 Mesquite Pinnacle/Turnpike Redbird Walnut Hill/Stemmons
Alliance Garland N Stemmons/Valwood
GSW North Ft Worth South Ft Worth Richardson/Plano
South Dallas DFW Airport
18 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
SUM OF AVAILABLE SPACE - Under Construction Vacancies
(VACANCY WITHIN RANGE)
Submarket
100,000-249,999 250,000-499,999 500,000-749,999 750,000+
Grand Total
Allen/McKinney
497,369
301,714
799,083
Alliance
387,872
1,774,082
2,117,639
2,361,947
6,641,540
DFW Airport
1,071,066
431,320
646,190
1,106,315
3,254,891
Far North/I-35
227,919
398,442
648,726
1,275,087
Garland
355,071
355,071
GSW
576,123
576,123
Mesquite
870,298
787,708
1,658,006
North Ft Worth
524,856
427,908
952,764
Pinnacle/Turnpike
392,220
392,220
South Dallas
317,875
298,168
616,043
South Ft Worth
816,662
1,337,034
2,153,696
Total
5,068,988
6,148,596
3,988,678
3,468,262
18,674,524
COUNT OF AVAILABLE SPACE - Under Construction Vacancies
(VACANCY WITHIN RANGE)
Submarket
100,000-249,999 250,000-499,999 500,000-749,999 750,000+
Grand Total
Allen/McKinney
4
1
5
Alliance
3
5
3
3
14
DFW Airport
7
1
1
1
10
Far North/I-35
2
1
1
4
Garland
2
2
GSW
1
1
Mesquite
6
2
8
North Ft Worth
3
1
4
Pinnacle/Turnpike
1
1
South Dallas
2
1
3
South Ft Worth
4
4
8
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Total
33
17
6
4
60
Q2 2020
19
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Overview: Demand
20 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
21
Demand
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
17,040,00 TOTAL SF OF ACTIVE REQU
Tenants in the Market
Demand REQUIREMENTS BY SIZE
Demand
ACTIVE REQUIREMENTS TOTALING 17,040,000 SF 8 1,000,000+ SF 17,040,000 TOTAL SF OF ACTIVE REQUIREMENTS 8 1,000,000+ SF 8 500,000 - 999,999 SF 10 250,000 - 499,999 SF
8 500,000 - 999,999 S
Tenants in the Market
REQUIREMENTS BY SIZE
ESTIMATED OCCUPANCY TIMELINE ESTIMA ED OCCUPANCY TIMELINE
REQUIREMENTS BY SUBMARKET (SF)
ESTIMATED OCCUPANCY TIMELINE
South Dallas
6,000,000
DFW Airport
Sout
6,000,000 6,000,000
5,000,000
Alliance
9,390,000
Mesquite
5,300,000
4,000,000
DFW
South Ft Worth
5,200,000
5,000,000 , ,
3,000,000
North Ft Worth
5,000,000
2,000,000
GSW
4,750,000
Pinnacle/Turnpike
4,500,000
1,000,000
M
4,000,000
Far North/I-35
1,500,000
0
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,00…
2020/Q3
2020/Q4
2021/Q1
2021/Q2
2021/Q3
2021/Q4
South F
ACTIVE TENANTS IN THE MARKET LIST
3,000,000
North F
Title
Minimum Requirement
Maximum Requirement
Target Submarket (s)
Broker Firm
Industry
Est. Occupancy
Uline Confidential e-Commerce Confidential e-Commerce DSV Logistics Project Diamond
1,640,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 900,000
1,640,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 700,000 600,000 600,000
DFW Airport,Alliance DFW Airport,South Dallas North Ft Worth South Dallas Alliance,DFW Airport,Far North/I-35,South Dallas,South Ft Worth South Dallas South Dallas,Mesquite,Alliance Alliance,DFW Airport,South Dallas,South Ft Worth DFW Airport,GSW,Mesquite,North Ft Worth,Pinnacle/Turnpike,South Dallas,Alliance,South Ft Worth DFW Airport Alliance,DFW Airport,North Ft Worth,Pinnacle/Turnpike,South Dallas,South Ft Worth,GSW Alliance,DFW Airport Alliance,DFW Airport,GSW,Mesquite,North Ft Worth,Pinnacle/Turnpike,South Dallas,South Ft Worth
CBRE KBC KBC
2021/Q3 2021/Q1 2020/Q4 2021/Q1 2021/Q4 2021/Q3 2021/Q1 2021/Q2 2021/Q2
2,000,000 00
JLL JLL
Pinnacle/T
Project Ocho (KeHE Distributors) Bissell Undisclosed Bio Pappel
850,000 600,000 600,000 500,000
Colliers Gargaro & Associates Lee & Associates NAI
1,000,000 1 0 0
Far N
Manufacturing
0 Confidential e-Commerce Georgia Pacific
500,000 500,000
2020/Q4 500,000 1,000,000
KBC Colliers
E-Commerce
2021/Q4 2021/Q1 2021/Q4 2021
2020/Q3 / 3
2021/Q1 2021 Q1
2021/Q2 2021/Q2
2021/Q3 /
Project Swift Undisclosed
500,000 500,000
500,000 1,000,000
Cushman & Wakefield Colliers
2021/Q1 2021/Q4
HISTORICAL REQUIREMENTS (SF) ACTIVE TENANTS IN THE MARKET LIST HIS ORICAL REQUIREMENTS (SF)
Title
Minimum Requirement
Maximum Requirement
Target Submarket (s)
25,000,000 25,000,000
Uline Confidential e-Commerce Confidential e-Commerce DSV Logistics Project Diamond 15,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000
1,640,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 900,000
1,640,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 700,000 600,000 600,000 2018 2018
DFW Airport,Alliance DFW Airport,South Dallas North Ft Worth South Dallas Alliance,DFW Airport,Far North/I-35 Ft Worth South Dallas South Dallas,Mesquite,Alliance Alliance,DFW Airport,South Dallas, DFW Airport,GSW,Mesquite,North Worth,Pinnacle/Turnpike,South Dal Worth DFW Airport
10,000,000 10,000,000
Project Ocho (KeHE Distributors) Bissell Undisclosed Bio Pappel 2015 2015 22 Q2 2020
850,000 600,000 600,000 500,000
2016 2016
2017 2017
2019 2019
Year
YEAR
Confidential e-Commerce
500,000
500,000
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
REQUIREMENTS BY SIZE
Size (SF)
Requirements
17,040,000 F OF ACTIVE REQUIREMENTS
1,000,000 +
8
500,000 - 999,999
8
250,000 - 499,999
10
10 250,000 - 499,999 SF
8 500,000 - 999,999 SF
REQUIREMENTS BY SUBMARKET (SF)* REQUIREMENTS BY SUBMARKET (SF)
South Dallas SOUTH DALLAS
11,350,000
DFW Airport DFWAIRPORT
10,990,000
Alliance ALLIANCE
9,390,000 , , 0
Mesquite MESQUITE
5,300,000
5,3 , 0
South Ft Worth SOUTH FORTWORTH
5,200,000
5,2 , 0
North Ft Worth NORTH FTWORTH
5,000,000 5, 0, 0
4,750,000 4,750, 0
GSW
Pinnacle/Turnpike PINNACLE/TURNPIKE
4,500,000 4,5 0, 0
Far North/I-35
1,500,000 15
FAR NORTH/
0
2,000,000 2, 0,0 0
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000 1 , ,
12,00… 2,0 ,000
21/Q4
*Requirements looking market wide will be included in multiple markets
get Submarket (s)
Broker Firm
Industry
Est. Occupancy
W Airport,Alliance W Airport,South Dallas h Ft Worth h Dallas nce,DFW Airport,Far North/I-35,South Dallas,South
CBRE KBC KBC
2021/Q3 2021/Q1 2020/Q4 2021/Q1 2021/Q4
Q2 2020
23
JLL JLL
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DEPTH OF TENANTS | ABSORPTION BY SIZE RANGE DEPTH OF TENANTS | ABSORPTION BY SIZE RANGE
YTD 2020 T 2020
TOTAL SF
NUMBER OF TENANTS
20
19
18
3.0 MSF
16
14
5.5 MSF
12
10
10
8
6
5
3.5 MSF
4
NUMBER OF TENANTS
2
1.3 MSF
2
0
100K - 249K SF 250K - 499K SF 500K - 749K SF 750K SF+
100K - 249K SF 250K - 499K SF 500K - 749K SF 750K SF+
FY 2019 + YTD 2020 TOTAL SF 1 T 2020
NUMBER OF TENANTS
100
86
90
80
13.7 MSF
13.8 MSF
70
60
50
40
31
30
20
NUMBER OF TENANTS
13
7.5 MSF
12
10.9 MSF
10
0
100K - 249K SF 250K - 499K SF 500K - 749K SF 750K SF+
100K - 249K SF 250K - 499K SF 500K - 749K SF 750K SF+
NOTE: The data in these charts represent positive absorption only (move-outs are excluded)
YTD 2020 - MAJOR SUBMARKETS J R SUBMARKETS 20 –
Alliance
DFWAirport
GSW
South Dallas
# OF TENANTS TOTAL SF
# OF TENANTS TOTAL SF
# OF TENANTS TOTAL SF
# OF TENANTS TOTAL SF
100K - 249K SF 250K - 499K SF 500K - 749K SF 750K SF +
0
0
2
272,212
3
380,475
3
502,780
1 0 1
400,000
0 0 1
0 0 1,000,584
1 0 1
322,824 0 1,500,000
1 1 1
450,000 610,806 1,044,647
0 783,465
24 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
YTD BIG DEALS LIST | DFW INDUSTRIAL
13DEALS
500k+SF
AT MID-YEAR 2020
TENANT NAME
SIZE (SF)
DEAL TYPE
Amazon (Forney - FTW5)
1,077,416
BTS
Ariat International
1,069,818
First Gen Spec Lease
Amazon
1,000,584
First Gen Spec Lease
General Mills
860,100
Renewal
FedEx
776,630
First Gen Spec Lease
Kraft-Heinz
731,548
Renewal
Ball Corporation
678,568
BTS
Wesco Aircraft Holdings
658,782
Expansion
NFI
653,582
Renewal
Geodis
616,875
Renewal
Mars Petcare
610,806
First Gen Spec Lease
Tempur Sealy
585,910
First Gen Spec Lease
HD Supply
525,641
Renewal
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Q2 2020
25
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Submarket Snapshots
26 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
27
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Allen/ McKinney
28 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
29
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Allen/McKinney
OBSERVATIONS & TRENDS
75
• Located on the northeastern most edge of the DFW market surrounded by heavy residential population • Most new supply to this submarket comes from shallow bay and single load product • Proximity to residential rooftops has motivated planning and ground breaking of several new speculative developments – Amazon signed a 201k sf build-to-suit deal with Stonemont Financial Group for a delivery facility on the SEC of Industrial Boulevard and Airport Boulevard in McKinney. – Core5 Industrial Partners and TCD have poured slabs on SELECT MARKET ACTIVITY & NEW DEVELOPMENTS:
380
ALLEN/MCKINNEY
ALLEN
75
MURPHY
RICHARDSON
75
30
30 – ML Realty’s McKinney Trade Center is set to deliver in Q3. The three-building speculative project located at the NWC of N McDonald Street & Wilmeth Road consists of a 106k sf cross-dock, a 112k sf rear-load and a 96k sf rear-load. – HLC Investments has plans to break ground on McKinney Logistics Center, a 193k sf speculative cross-dock located at 2161 Redbud Boulevard in McKinney. 80 the first phase of Core5 McKinney Logistics Center, two speculative rear-load buildings (302k & 130k sf). The 65-acre project is located on the west side of N McDonald Street, just south of Bloomdale Road. Future phases for the project consist of an additional 1 msf of product.
635
2
AND K
LLAS
FORNEY
MARKET SUMMARY 12
45
175
20
BALCH SPRINGS
20
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD 2020
HUTCHINS
175
9.3
9.3
9.4
9.4
9.9
10.0
10.5
10.8
10.8
Inventory (MSF)
45
Overall Net Absorption (MSF) WILMER
32,900 194,810 499,072 338,526 470,371 106,799 147,478 276,867 73,234
LANCASTER
15.8% 13.8% 8.0% 3.1% 2.3% 3.4% 6.5% 7.4% 6.2%
Overall Vacancy
0
66,000 117,261
0
423,927 198,000 455,722 250,454
0
Completions (MSF)
Under Construction (MSF)
66,000 117,261
0
291,620 108,000 140,000 30,954 919,165 919,165
30 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
VACANCY
Historical Average = 7.4%
HISTORICAL AVERAGE = 7.4%
18.0%
16.0%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL AVERAGE
NET ABSORPTIONS / COMPLETIONS
NET ABSORPTION / COMPLETIONS
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
Millions
0.2
0.1
0.0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION COMPLETIONS
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Q2 2020
31
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Alliance
32 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
33
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Alliance
The Alliance submarket is situated along I-35W on the northwest edge of DFW. The submarket benefits from Alliance’s Global Logistics Hub, which includes the BNSF Railway Intermodal Terminal, Alliance Airport, and UPS and FedEx hubs. While Alliance has traditionally been a finite submarket mostly controlled by Hillwood, other developers and institutional investors have entered the area. There are about 15 other developers that have either begun developing or acquired developable land sites in Alliance. This marks the evolution of the submarket from one that has traditionally been tightly controlled with high barriers of entry, DENTON 35
to one with a more diverse investment landscape. It has also brought efficiency to the leasing market as tenants enjoy options to lease product controlled by a variety of owners. Alliance delivered 5.2 MSF during the first two quarters of 2020, compared to 3.6 MSF of completions during the full year of 2019. Alliance currently accounts for 32% of the greater DFW market’s new development pipeline with 7.5 MSF of inventory under construction. The activity from a supply standpoint is being met by solid demand with 1.4 MSF of YTD net absorption and 2.9 MSF of new leasing activity, compared to 3.5 MSF of new leasing activity for the full year of 2019. 380
ALLIANCE DELIVERED 5.2 MSF DURING THE FIRST TWO QUARTERS OF 2020, COMPARED TO 3.6 MSF OF COMPLETIONS FOR THE FULL YEAR OF 2019.
75
380
35E
LITTLE ELM
CORINTH
35W
FRISCO
OBSERVATIONS & TRENDS
ALLEN
HIGHLAND VILLAGE
75
• The Alliance submarket leads the greater DFW industrial market in construction activity with 7.5 MSF of new product under construction, 94% (7 MSF) of which is speculative • The submarket’s 2.9 MSF of mid-year leasing activity is second only to DFW Airport, with over 65% of new leases signed occurring in first-gen spec product • The Alliance submarket delivered 5.2 MSF of new supply during the first two quarters, 100% of which is speculative • Alliance construction completions are expected to reach, if not surpass, nearly 10 MSF by year-end, more new inventory for the submarket than the last three years combined RICHARDSON PLANO IRVING FARMERS BRANCH HIGHLAND PARK ADDISON CARROLLTON 635 635 635 35E 35E 35E 12 114 114 183 121 12 75 75
FLOWER MOUND
114
MU
ROANOKE
114
SOUTHLAKE
35W
121
GRAPEVINE
287
ALLIANCE
KELLER
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS
360
COLLEYVILLE
121
BEDFORD
SAGINAW
EULESS
30
183
HALTOM CITY
820
820
35W
DALLAS
34 Q2 2020
121
360
30
30
WHITE TTLEMENT
GRAND PRAIRIE
ARLINGTON
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION UNDER CONSTRUCTION 1.4MSF 14.8% 5.2MSF 7.5MSF OVERALL VACANCY COMPLETIONS
MARKET SUMMARY
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD 2020
26.8
28.0
30.7
33.7
35.6
37.3
41.8
46.3
51.5
Inventory (MSF)
Overall Net Absorption (MSF)
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.3
2.5
4.0
1.6
5.1
1.4
8.9% 7.5% 11.2% 15.1% 12.4% 6.0% 9.7% 6.4% 14.8%
Overall Vacancy
0
1.1
2.7
3.0
1.8
1.7
4.0
4.0
5.2
Completions (MSF)
48,726
3.8
2.8
1.2
1.7
2.7
2.5
9.8
7.5
Under Construction (MSF)
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTIONS/COMPLETIONS
HISTORICAL AVERAGE = 9.5%
Historical Average = 9.5%
NET ABSORPTION / COMPLETIONS
16.0%
6.0
14.0%
5.0
12.0%
4.0
10.0%
8.0%
3.0
Millions
6.0%
2.0
4.0%
1.0
2.0%
0.0%
0.0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL AVERAGE
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION COMPLETIONS
Q2 2020
35
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Alliance
SELECT LEASING ACTIVITY
100K SF+ | 2019
Tenant
Building
Location
SF Leased
Ariat International
Intermodal Logistics Center, Bldg 2
18314 FM 156, Fort Worth
1,069,818
General Mills*
Alliance Gateway 51
4901 Henrietta Creek Rd, Fort Worth
860,100
Kraft-Heinz*
Kraft-Heinz at Westport Alliance
1005 & 1006 Railhead Dr, Fort Worth
731,548
NFI*
Alliance Gateway 72
4798-4800 Henrietta Creek Rd, Fort Worth 472,500
Allen Distribution
4801 Westport Pky
4801 Westport Pky, Fort Worth
400,000
AmerCareRoyal
Speedway Logistics Crossing, Bldg 2
FM 156 & Petty Pl, Fort Worth
390,000
Wesco Aircraft Holdings (expansion)
Northport 35, Bldg A
4250 Dale Earnhardt Way, Northlake
349,425
Wabtec
Speedway Logistics Crossing, Bldg 1
2660 Petty Pl, Fort Worth
265,000
Mondelez Global
Speedway Distribution Center, Bldg C
16200 Three Wide Dr, Fort Worth
149,802
Boxout / WBC Group TCC 35 Eagle, Bldg H
15277 Heritage Pky, Fort Worth
91,376
Crown Equipment Corporation
Alliance Northport 5
4100 E Sam Lee Ln, Northlake
84,795
*Renewal
NEW DEVELOPMENTS Completed - First Generation Vacancies (100K SF+)
Building
Developer/Owner
RBA SF Available
TCC 35 Eagle, Bldg A
Trammell Crow/PGIM
1,089,642
1,089,642
Alliance Westport 11
Hillwood
1,002,536
1,002,536
Sunset Trade Center, Bldg 2
PLR/CT Realty (forward to Clarion)
677,429
677,429
Northwest Commerce Park, Bldg 1
Stream/Morgan Stanley
473,894
473,894
Northwest Commerce Park, Bldg 3
Stream/Morgan Stanley
351,194
351,194
Northwest Commerce Park, Bldg 2
Stream/Morgan Stanley
266,152
266,152
Alliance Northport 4
Hillwood
225,472
225,472
Sunset Trade Center, Bldg 1
PLR/CT Realty (forward to Clarion)
205,136
205,136
Speedway Distribution Center, Bldg C
IDI Logistics
316,128
166,326
Speedway Logistics Crossing, Bldg 1
Scannell
408,240
143,240
TCC 35 Eagle, Bldg H
Trammell Crow/PGIM
312,733
143,085
Alliance Northport 5
Hillwood
225,930
141,139
36 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Under Construction - Availabilities (100K SF+)
Building
Developer/Owner
RBA
SF Available
Alliance Center North 7
Hillwood
810,908
810,908
Speedway Logistics Crossing, Bldg 3
Scannell
795,780
795,780
NorthLink A
Hines
754,313
754,313
Synergy Crossing, Bldg 400
Ironwood/TCRG Properties
708,047
708,047
Intermodal Logistics Center, Bldg 3
NorthPoint Development
707,592
707,592
Elizabeth Creek Gateway, Bldg D
DHL Real Estate
702,000
702,000
Alliance Northport 2
Hillwood
460,248
460,248
Elizabeth Creek Gateway, Bldg E
DHL Real Estate
403,000
403,000
Synergy Crossing, Bldg 300
Ironwood/TCRG Properties
390,440
390,440
NorthLink B
Hines
263,200
263,200
North Quarter 35, Bldg 2
M2G Ventures/Nuveen
257,117
257,117
North Quarter 35, Bldg 3
M2G Ventures/Nuveen
159,659
159,659
North Quarter 35, Bldg 1
M2G Ventures/Nuveen
119,665
119,665
North Quarter 35, Bldg 4
M2G Ventures/Nuveen
108,548
108,548
Planned Speculative (100K SF+)
Building
Developer/Owner
RBA
SF Available
Gruene Real Estate Partners/ Weber & Co
Intermodal Commerce Park, Bldg 1
671,034
671,034
114 Distribution Center
Miramar/Provident
568,858
568,858
Gruene Real Estate Partners/ Weber & Co Gruene Real Estate Partners/ Weber & Co
Intermodal Commerce Park, Bldg 2
449,796
449,796
Intermodal Commerce Park, Bldg 3
283,860
283,860
FORECAST The construction pipeline for Alliance will remain active through the rest of the year and likely into 2021. An increase in vacancy for Alliance is almost guaranteed as a result of the current construction pipeline. Longer term, the area should return to equilibrium as the majority of good developable sites are now under developer control, and a disciplined approach to future development is expected.
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Q2 2020
37
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
Brookhollow/ Trinity
38 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
39
H
FRISCO
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
ALLEN
HLAND LAGE
75
PLANO
Brookhollow/Trinity 121
35E
MURPHY
ADDISON
OBSERVATIONS & TRENDS
RICHARDSON
CARROLLTON
35E
121
75
E
• Most of the Brookhollow/Trinity’s building stock was built several cycles ago and struggles to meet modern day supply chain and distribution demands • Demand in this submarket is driven by companies with smaller operations and/or local, last mile fulfillment and distribution • The majority of the submarket’s tenant base occupies smaller spaces, ranging from 10K SF to 50K SF • This infill submarket is primarily built-out and new supply isn’t likely until vacancy increases and developers can make sense of redeveloping old product 30 30 80
635
FARMERS BRANCH
114
635
635
114
12
12
HIGHLAND PARK
35E
183
BROOKHOLLOW/ TRINITY
IRVING
75
DALLAS
30
GRAND PRAIRIE
12
35E
FORNEY
45
12
175
SELECT MARKET ACTIVITY & NEW DEVELOPMENTS: 20
BALCH SPRINGS
12
20
– LINK plans to break ground next quarter on a speculative basis on Building 3 at Cornerstone Crossing. The new development is a 109k sf front-load building at 9749 Clifford Drive in Dallas. 175
20
HUTCHINS
67
35E
DUNCANVILLE
45
DESOTO
LANCASTER
WILMER
MARKET SUMMARY 35E 67
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD 2020
47.9
47.9
48.3
48.3
48.3
48.3
48.8
49.1
49.1
Inventory (MSF)
Overall Net Absorption (MSF)
137,953 245,991
1.2
572,730 532,986 64,042 20,578 (349,467) 254,564
7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 3.5% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.3%
Overall Vacancy
0
34,400 353,161
0
0
0
0
0
0
Completions (MSF)
Under Construction (MSF)
139,561 185,161
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
VACANCY
Historical Average = 3.9%
8.0%
HISTORICAL AVERAGE = 3.9%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL AVERAGE
NET ABSORPTIONS/COMPLETIONS
NET ABSORPTION / COMPLETIONS
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4 Millions
0.2
0.0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
(0.2)
(0.4)
(0.6)
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION COMPLETIONS
TA B L E O F CON T E N T S
Q2 2020
41
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Airport
42 Q2 2020
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
Q2 2020
43
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Airport
The DFW Airport industrial submarket has a central location with excellent access to several major transportation arteries, an abundant supply of labor and multiple area amenities. The area consistently enjoys high tenant demand and investor interest for warehouse/distribution space. The submarket’s inventory stock is composed of both fee simple ownership and DFW Airport ground leased developments. Historically, demand has kept up with new supply and the DFW Airport 380
submarket has played a leading role in absorption for the overall DFW market. The submarket’s lack of developable infill sites along with strong leasing velocity on the northern side of the airport motivated DFW Airport to open the southern end for ground leased development in 2018. Developers have aggressively taken advantage of this opportunity, breaking ground on nearly 11 MSF since, 86% of which has been speculative product. 75
FOUR OF THE TOP FIVE DEALS SIGNED IN THE SUBMARKET YEAR-TO- DATE HAVE BEEN IN FIRST- GEN SPEC PRODUCT – AMAZON (1 MSF), TEMPUR SEALY (585K SF), AMERIPAC (401K SF), & BRIGHTSTAR (275K SF). DENTON 35E
35
LITTLE ELM
380
CORINTH
35W
FRISCO
ALLEN OBSERVATIONS & TRENDS
HIGHLAND VILLAGE
75
PLANO
MURPHY • DFW Airport led the greater DFW industrial market in leasing activity during the first two quarters with 3.9 MSF of new leasing transactions, 2.7 MSF (72%) of which are expected to occupy/absorb before year-end. • Of the 4.8 MSF currently under construction in the submarket, 4.5 MSF (93%) is speculative product and 100% of the 2.1 MSF of YTD completions is speculative product • Consistently high tenant demand in the submarket continues to fuel increased construction activity, the submarket absorbing over 20 MSF since 2015 • Southern DFW Airport ground leased product accounts for 83% (4 MSF) of the submarket’s current construction activity RICHARDSON HIGHLAND PARK 30 30 635 12 75 75
35E
121
FLOWER MOUND
KE
114
ADDISON
SOUTHLAKE
CARROLLTON
35E
121
GRAPEVINE
635
FARMERS BRANCH
DFW AIRPORT
114
635
RTH HLAND LLS
360
COLLEYVILLE
114
121
12
BEDFORD
EULESS
35E
183
183
M
IRVING
820
DALLAS
80
360
30
30
GRAND PRAIRIE
ARLINGTON
12
35E
FORNEY
45
12
175
44 Q2 2020
20
BALCH SPRINGS
12
20
20
20
HUTCHINS
67
35E
175
Industrial Insider Mid-Year Report
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION 1.3MSF 7.7% 2.1 MSF 4.9MSF OVERALL VACANCY
COMPLETIONS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
MARKET SUMMARY
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD 2020
63.0
65.7
70.4
74.0
76.1
79.3
83.1
87.1
89.2
Inventory (MSF)
Overall Net Absorption (MSF)
2.4
4.5
2.4
3.2
4.6
3.2
2.8
6.0
1.3
9.9% 6.8% 9.5% 9.7% 6.1% 5.8% 8.4% 6.1% 7.7%
Overall Vacancy
85,500
2.7
4.6
3.7
2.1
3.2
3.8
4.2
2.1
Completions (MSF)
Under Construction (MSF)
1.1
4.5
3.6
2.3
3.7
1.6
3.8
5.2
4.9
COMPLETIONS / NET ABSORPTIONS
VACANCY
HISTORICAL AVERAGE = 7.7%
NET ABSORPTION / COMPLETIONS
Historical Average = 7.7%
12.0%
7.0
6.0
10.0%
5.0
8.0%
4.0
6.0%
Millions
3.0
4.0%
2.0
2.0%
1.0
0.0%
0.0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 YTD 2020
OVERALL VACANCY RATE
HISTORICAL AVERAGE
OVERALL NET ABSORPTION COMPLETIONS
Q2 2020
45
Cushman &Wakefield Dallas/Fort Worth
DFW Airport
100K SF+ | 2019 SELECT LEASING ACTIVITY Tenant Building
Location
SF Leased 1,000,584
Amazon
DFW Commerce Center, Bldg 1
2601 S Airfield Dr, Irving
Tempur Sealy
TCC Passport Park, Bldg 2
2650 Rental Car Dr, Irving
585,910
HD Supply*
Lakeside Ranch 550
550 Lakeside Pky
525,641
Amazon*
DFW Trade Center I
2700 Regent Blvd, Irving
428,300
AmeriPac
Prologis Mustang Park, Bldg 1
951 Mustang Dr, Grapevine
401,280
Union Supply
Airport Distribution Center
2500 Regent Blvd, Irving
313,723
Brightstar
Lakeside Ranch 350
350 Lakeside Pky, Flower Mound
274,994
Legendz Way Distribution Gateway Logistics Center, Bldg 5
2600 Market St, Irving
267,575
Sewell
DFW Distribution Center
1717 W Airfield Dr, Grapevine
252,400
Teltech Communication DFW North IV
1901 Lakeside Pky, Flower Mound
198,854
Maxxis Tire*
DFW Trade Center, Bldg I
4251 Highway 121, Grapevine
185,825
CTDI
Lakeside Ranch 1001
1001 Lakeside Pky, Flower Mound
185,344
GE Aviation / CFM Materials
DFW Airfield Logistics Center, Bldgs 1 & 2
3001-3051 W Airfield Dr, Euless
180,417
Hart & Cooley*
AmberPoint 4
200 Northpoint Dr, Coppell
152,274
KyotoCooling
Park West Commerce Center II
204 Airline Dr, Coppell
147,143
Norwex*
Freeport XIV
800 W Bethel Rd, Coppell
143,000
Schneider*
620 Westport Pky
620 Westport Pky, Grapevine
104,490
Furniture of America
Gateway Logistics Center, Bldg 4
2601 W Airport Fwy, Irving
101,149
Arizona Tile*
International Commerce Park, Bldg 1
2701 Regent Blvd
100,398
Hussman
Gateway Logistics Center, Bldg 4
2601 W Airport Fwy, Irving
87,328
*Renewal
NEW DEVELOPMENTS Completed - First Generation Vacancies (100K SF+)
Building
Developer/Owner
RBA SF Available
Passport Logistics Park, Bldg 200
Dalfen Industrial
494,385
494,385
Passport Logistics Park, Bldg 300
Dalfen Industrial
494,385
494,385
Gateway Logistics Center, Bldg 3
Bandera Ventures/Long Warf
375,400
375,400
Passport Logistics Park, Bldg 100
Dalfen Industrial
242,516
242,516
Prologis Park 121, Bldg 2
Prologis
142,080
142,080
Valley View DFW Airport
Alpha Industrial Properties
294,795
105,255
Southlake Business Park, Bldg 3
Frontier Equity/Rialto
103,135
103,135
Prologis Park 121, Bldg 1
Prologis
98,381
98,381
DFW Airfield Logistics Center, Bldg 2
Seefried/Clarion
210,640
98,300
46 Q2 2020
Made with FlippingBook Publishing Software