Healthcare Capital Markets 2025 Outlook
Transaction Activity Is Expected To Strengthen The Fed’s cutting cycle will progress cautiously
2024 Sales Volume Up 61% YOY
$35
6%
• Medical outpatient building (MOB) transaction activity tends to strengthen as interest rates decline. As financial market conditions loosen and the cost of capital improves, deal activity follows. • Deal activity picked up in 2024, with sales volume up 61% compared to 2023. This momentum is expected to carry into 2025, supported by strong fundamentals in healthcare properties. • The Fed has signaled a cautious approach to rate cutting, citing inflation risks. While the pace of rate cuts may be slower than previously expected the Fed projects another 50 basis points (bps) of cuts in 2025 and another 50 bps in 2026. • Although liquidity conditions were challenging throughout 2024 due to tighter debt availability and less active capital markets, the forecast is improving for 2025.
$30
5%
$25
4%
$20
3%
$15 Billions
$13
2%
$10
$8
1%
$5
$-
0%
2017Q1
2021Q1
2015Q1
2018Q1
2016Q1
2019Q1
2014Q1
2022Q1
2017Q3
2021Q3
2023Q1
2025Q1
2015Q3
2018Q3
2026Q1
2016Q3
2019Q3
2024Q1
2014Q3
2020Q1
2022Q3
2025Q3
2023Q3
2026Q3
2024Q3
2020Q3
MOB Sales-Rolling 4QTR
10-Year Treasury (RHS)
SOFR - 1 month (RHS)
Linear (MOB Sales-Rolling 4QTR )
Source: RevistaMed, U.S. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FRB); Moody's Analytics Forecasted
Note: Sales volume includes entity level transactions; 2024 sales data is preliminary
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