Where Do European Property Values Go From Here?
Key Assumption: Spreads Will Adjust
Office Yield vs 10Yr Bond Yield (Avg 273 bps*)
Industrial Yield vs 10Yr Bond Yield (Avg 335 bps*)
-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Forecast
-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%
Forecast
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010 Industrial
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
Office
10Yr Gov't Bond
10Yr Gov't Bond
Source: MSCI, Moody’s Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Research *Spreads from 2001 to present
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