2024 Retail Fit Out Cost Guide
CURRENT CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Average construction inventory in 2023 outpaced the previous year by roughly 1 msf but continued to lag the pre-pandemic era, down nearly 2 msf when compared to 2019. Limited retail inventory, historically low vacancy rates and increasing rents have tempted developers to increase retail construction. However, developers are being faced with a series of hurdles, including higher interest rates, and higher material and labor costs. The shift in retailers’ commercial real estate strategy is reflected in the composition of space under construction. Companies are largely transitioning from relatively limited locations with larger footprints, to a greater quantity of smaller stores that are located closer to consumers. Power and strip centers share of construction declined 2.8% and 2.7%, respectively, when compared to 2021. Meanwhile, neighborhood centers have increased their share 5.5% over the last eight quarters. Despite a limited construction pipeline, previously occupied retail space will become available, helping offset demand, after several high-profile bankruptcy announcements by retailers such as Bed Bath & Beyond, Tuesday Morning and Rite Aid.
SEGMENTED RETAIL SPACE UNDER CONSTRUCTION POWER CENTERS HAVE LOST NEARLY HALF THEIR SHARE OF DEVELOPMENT SINCE 2017
80
70
60
50
40
30
20 Millions SF
10
0
2011
2017
2012
2021
2015
2013
2018
2016
2019
2014
2010
2022
2023
2020
2008
2009
UC (msf) - Power Center UC (msf) - Strip Center
UC (msf) - Neighborhood Center
Historical Average (msf)
Source: CoStar, Cushman & Wakefield Research
18
Cushman & Wakefield
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