1441 Montiel Road, Escondido
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary
1441 Montiel OM
Analysis Date: 2/6/2019
Analysis Period:
Project Summary:
Start of Investment Period
Project Size
49,990 SF
36 Months May 1, 2019 Apr 30, 2022
Investment Period
In-Place Occupancy - May 1, 2019
85.6%
End of Investment Period
Residual Occupancy - Forward 12 Month - Apr 30, 2022
100.0% Phys. / 95.0% Eco.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
FYE 2020 FYE 2021
FYE 2022 FYE 2023 FYE 2024 FYE 2025 FYE 2026 FYE 2027 FYE 2028 FYE 2029 FYE 2030
Weighted Average Market Rent
$1.25 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% -9.3%
$1.29 3.0%
$1.33 3.0%
$1.37 3.0%
$1.41 3.0% 0.0%
$1.45 3.0%
$1.49 3.0%
$1.54 3.0% 0.0%
$1.58 3.0% 0.0%
$1.63 3.0% 0.0%
$1.68 3.0% 0.0%
Annual Rent Growth
Annual Lease Rollover (Fiscal Year) Cumulative Lease Rollover (Fiscal Year) In-Place Rents Above/(Below) Market
0.0% 25.9% 24.9%
0.0% 34.8%
0.0% 25.9% 50.8% 50.8% 50.8% 85.6% 85.6% 85.6% 85.6% 85.6%
Market Leasing Assumptions:
Suites 115 & 141
Suite 115 B
Suite 143-145
Notes:
Renewal Probability
80.0%
80.0%
80.0%
3. Assumes CTE downsize of 1,750 SF and 5,432 SF of new construction. 1. Assumes T-Mobile executes both renewal options with no Free Rent, $0 TI, and no LC. 2. Assumes Element Education renews at expiration with MLA Free Rent, TI, & LC.
Lease Term
60 Months
60 Months
60 Months
Average Market Rent
$1.25 NNN
$1.25 NNN
$1.25
Recovery Type
NNN (excl. Taxes)
Annual Rent Adjustment
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Tenant Improvements (New / Renewal) Lease Commissions (New / Renewal)
$15.00 / $5.00 6.00% / 4.00% 6 Mos / 3 Mos 2 Mos / 1 Mos
$15.00 / $5.00 6.00% / 4.00% 6 Mos / 3 Mos 2 Mos / 1 Mos
$15.00 / $5.00 6.00% / 4.00% 6 Mos / 3 Mos 2 Mos / 1 Mos
Downtime (FY 1-2 / Thereafter)
Base Rent Abatement (New / Renewal)
Bridge Loan Assumptions: Initial Funding
In-Place Lease Expirations
$7,168,220 $7,683,066
(Weighted Avg. Lease Term Remaining = 4.51 YRS)
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Fully Funded
Fully Funded to Total Capitalization Fully Funded to Residual Value
73.0% 65.8% 2.00% 2.51% 3.40% 5.91%
Bridge Loan Origination Fee
Index Rate
Spread
Interest Rate
Amortization Period Interest-Only Period
360 Months 36 Months
Percentage
Square Feet
0 5,000
Source of TI/LC/CapEx Future Fundings
Draws 100.0% 100.0%
Lender Portion of Draws - TI/LC Lender Portion of Draws - CapEx
FYE 2020 FYE 2021
FYE 2022
FYE 2023 FYE 2024 FYE 2025
FYE 2026 FYE 2027
Annual In-Place Lease Expirations
Cumulative In-Place Lease Expiration %
PRICING MATRIX
36 Month Month 36 Month 36 Non-Lev Leveraged Non-Lev Leveraged Non-Lev Leveraged Non-Lev Leveraged
Price In-Place Mark to
Year 1 Lev Equity Stabilized Stabilized
IRR
IRR
Price
IRR
IRR
IRR
IRR
IRR
IRR
PSF Cap Rate
Market
Cap Rate Multiple [1]
Costs PSF
ROC 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month 36 Month
Range
$10,260,000 10,060,000 9,860,000 9,660,000 9,460,000
$205
5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9%
6.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8%
5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4%
1.30x 1.39x 1.48x 1.57x 1.67x
$216
6.5% 10.8% 19.4%
9.2% 14.6%
7.8% 8.6%
9.9% 12.4%
6.5% 7.2%
5.2% 7.8%
201 197 193 189
212
6.6% 6.7% 6.9%
11.5% 12.3%
21.7% 10.0% 24.1% 10.8%
17.1% 19.5%
208 204 200
9.3% 15.0%
8.0% 10.5%
13.1% 26.5%
11.6% 22.0%
10.1%
17.5%
8.7% 9.5%
13.1% 15.8%
7.0% 14.0% 28.9%
12.4% 24.5% 10.9% 20.1%
[1] 6.00% Residual Capitalization Rate and 36 Month Investment Period
Gross Residual Sale Receipts PSF Residual Capitalization Rate % of Return Attrib. to Cash Flow [2] % of Return Attrib. to Residual Value [2]
$255
$244 5.75% 41.7% 58.3%
$234
$224 6.25% 58.0% 42.0%
[2] Mid-Point Pricing of $9,860,000 or $197/SF
5.50% 35.9% 64.1%
6.00% 48.9%
51.1%
1441 MONTIEL ROAD, ESCONDIDO
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